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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
01.08.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Central Norte - Los Andes

Football
Central Norte
Central Norte
0 : 0
Finished
Los Andes
Los Andes

Central Norte face Los Andes on August 1, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 32% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Los Andes — 46%

Pure model vs market (2 · Los Andes): model 32% · market 31% Δ +1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Central Norte31.6%
X · draw21.9%
2 · Los Andes46.5%

Model estimate: win Central Norte 31.6%, draw 21.9%, win Los Andes 46.5%. Model favourite — Los Andes.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Los Andes (odds2.97) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • liniya na pik P2 7.50→14.00 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Los Andes: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.97)
  • • edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Central Norte - Los Andes August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 2.60 / 2 3.05
  • Glicko: Central Norte 31.6% / X 21.9% / Los Andes 46.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 31.9%
X 36.8%
2 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.75 ↑ 9.00
1X2 X 1.45 ↓ 1.09
1X2 2 7.50 ↑ 14.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Central Norte
#3519 ptsGP 214-7-1013:23
Los Andes
#933 ptsGP 218-9-419:8
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Central Norte
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.50 xG 0.88 xGA 1.00
Los Andes
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.00 Conceded 0.40 xG 0.91 xGA 0.86

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Central Norte
Rating 1429
Los Andes
Rating 1559

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 19:30 UTC
Market 1 31.9% @ 3.00 / X 36.8% @ 2.60 / 2 31.4% @ 3.05
Match center

Central Norte - Los Andes

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 46.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.925 / LogLoss 1.518
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 46.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.925 / LogLoss 1.518
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Central Norte 10.1% 31.6% market favourite
Draw 83.4% 21.9% draw risk
Los Andes 6.5% 46.5% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.6% / 21.9% / 46.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,493 / 1,500 Central Norte / Los Andes
RD 204 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,085-1,902 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 46.5%
X 2.51 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.93 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.6%
Double chance
12 1.48 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 78.1%
1X 1.34 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 53.5%
X2 1.34 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.4%
Handicap
2 0 1.87 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.43 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.78 36.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.44 69.4% 1.51 66.2%
1x 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%
x2 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.96 25.3%
X 1.71 58.5%
4.11 24.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 0.5 1.93 51.8%
Match center
Central Norte
W W L D W
26.07 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 1:0 Godoy KrusGodoy Krus
18.07 22:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 2:0 Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron
13.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 0:4 Kolon Santa FeKolon Santa Fe
05.07 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 1:1 San-MigelSan-Migel
14.06 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Central Norte 2:0 San-TelmoSan-Telmo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Los Andes
D D L W W
26.07 17:00 UTC+0 Chile: Segunda - Qualifying - Playoff
Los Andes 0:0 Kheneral Velaskes
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Los Andes 0:0 Deportivo MadrinDeportivo Madrin
11.07 18:00 UTC+0 Chile: Segunda Standings
Los Andes 1:2 Brujas Salamanca
11.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Los Andes 3:1 Syudad BolivarSyudad Bolivar
05.07 17:00 UTC+0 Chile: Segunda Standings
Los Andes 2:1 Real San-Khoakin
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCentral Norte - Los Andes

Central Norte
0 matches total
Los Andes
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history