Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario

Football
Chacarita Juniors
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 1
Finished
Agropecuario
Agropecuario

Chacarita Juniors face Agropecuario on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chacarita Juniors 1-0-4, Agropecuario 1-2-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chacarita Juniors42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chacarita Juniors): model 41% · market 42% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Chacarita Juniors42.1%
X · draw32.4%
2 · Agropecuario25.5%

Model estimate: win Chacarita Juniors 42.1%, draw 32.4%, win Agropecuario 25.5%. Model favourite — Chacarita Juniors.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chacarita Juniors (odds2.22) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • liniya na pik P1 3.85→6.60 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Chakarita Khuniors: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
  • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chacarita Juniors.

Line favourite market consensus: Chacarita Juniors. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 2.87 / 2 3.87
  • Glicko: Chacarita Juniors 42.1% / X 32.4% / Agropecuario 25.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 42.4%
X 33.1%
2 24.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 3.85 ↑ 6.60
1X2 X 1.35 ↓ 1.16
1X2 2 10.00 ↑ 12.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Chacarita Juniors
#2823 ptsGP 216-5-1016:22
Agropecuario
#3023 ptsGP 225-8-917:26
Best price across 13 books
1 2.30 Betano
X 2.95 Unibet
2 3.90 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chacarita Juniors
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.70 Conceded 1.00 xG 0.87 xGA 1.05
Agropecuario
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.50 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.96 xGA 1.03

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Chacarita Juniors
Rating 1470 xG 1.21 Win 43%
Agropecuario
Rating 1471 xG 0.90 Win 27%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chacarita Juniors 1 : 1 Agropecuario
12.15
X2.80
23.63

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 42.4% @ 2.24 / X 33.1% @ 2.87 / 2 24.5% @ 3.87
Match center

Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 42.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.700 / LogLoss 1.128
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 42.1% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.700 / LogLoss 1.128
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chacarita Juniors 42.2% 42.1% market and model agree
Draw 32.7% 32.4% draw risk
Agropecuario 25.1% 25.5%
xG - 1.21 : 0.90
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 42.1% / 32.4% / 25.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,399 / 1,415 Chacarita Juniors / Agropecuario
RD 176 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,047-1,750 / 1,070-1,761 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.72 market consensus · no value · model 25.5%
X 2.84 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.21 market consensus · no value · model 42.1%
Double chance
12 1.37 market consensus · no value · model 67.6%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.5%
X2 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 57.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.40 41.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.01 33.2%
X 1.85 54.1%
4.82 20.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 0.5 2.16 46.3%
Match center
Chacarita Juniors
L L W L L
25.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chacarita Juniors 0:1 Tristan SuaresTristan Suares
12.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chacarita Juniors 1:2 Khimnasiya KhukhuyKhimnasiya Khukhuy
05.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chacarita Juniors 1:0 San-Martin San-KhuanSan-Martin San-Khuan
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chacarita Juniors 0:2 Nueva ChikagoNueva Chikago
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chacarita Juniors 0:1 TemperleyTemperley
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Agropecuario
W D D L L
26.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Agropecuario 2:1 San-Martin San-KhuanSan-Martin San-Khuan
17.07 19:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Agropecuario 1:1 Nueva ChikagoNueva Chikago
12.07 17:00 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Agropecuario 0:0 TemperleyTemperley
05.07 17:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Agropecuario 0:2 Deportivo MaypuDeportivo Maypu
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Agropecuario 1:2 AlmagroAlmagro
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points