Match center
Start
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina: Primera Nasonal Standings
Chakarita Khuniors - Agropekuario
1
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Chakarita Khuniors — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Chakarita Khuniors): model 41% · market 14% Δ +27 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Chakarita Khuniors 58.0%, draw 20.7%, win Agropekuario 21.3%. Model favourite — Chakarita Khuniors.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chakarita Khuniors - Agropekuario July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.60 / X 1.16 / 2 12.00
- Glicko: Chakarita Khuniors 58.0% / X 20.7% / Agropekuario 21.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.7%
1
13.8%
X
78.6%
2
7.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
3.85
↑ 6.60
1X2 X
1.35
↓ 1.16
1X2 2
10.00
↑ 12.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Chakarita Khuniors - Agropekuario
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 58.0% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.010 / LogLoss 1.573
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 58.0% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.010 / LogLoss 1.573
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Chakarita Khuniors
13.8%
58.0%
market and model agree
Draw
78.6%
20.7%
draw risk
Agropekuario
7.6%
21.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
58.0% / 20.7% / 21.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,399 / 1,415
Chakarita Khuniors / Agropekuario
RD
175 / 173
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,048-1,750 / 1,070-1,761
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.16
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
6.60
Fonbet · weak value +282.9% · model 58.0%
Double chance
12
4.30
Fonbet · weak value +240.8% · model 79.3%
1X
1.03
Fonbet · no value · model 78.7%
X2
1.08
Fonbet · no value · model 42.0%
Handicap
2 0
1.95
Fonbet · line only
1 0
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
9.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 4.30 23.3% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 1.08 92.6% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
Match center
Chakarita Khuniors
L
L
W
L
L
Chakarita Khuniors
0:1
Tristan Suares
Tristan Suares
Chakarita Khuniors
1:2
Khimnasiya Khukhuy
Khimnasiya Khukhuy
Chakarita Khuniors
1:0
San-Martin San-Khuan
San-Martin San-Khuan
Chakarita Khuniors
0:2
Nueva Chikago
Nueva Chikago
Chakarita Khuniors
0:1
Temperley
Temperley
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
3
Points
Agropekuario
W
D
D
L
L
Agropekuario
2:1
San-Martin San-Khuan
San-Martin San-Khuan
Agropekuario
1:1
Nueva Chikago
Nueva Chikago
Agropekuario
0:0
Temperley
Temperley
Agropekuario
0:2
Deportivo Maypu
Deportivo Maypu
Agropekuario
1:2
Almagro
Almagro
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyChakarita Khuniors - Agropekuario
Chakarita Khuniors
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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