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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings

Atletico Escobar - Boca Unidos

Football
Atletico Escobar
Atletico Escobar
0 : 3
Finished
Boca Unidos
Boca Unidos

Atletico Escobar go head-to-head with Boca Unidos on August 1, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Atletico Escobar63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Escobar): model 53% · market 10% Δ +43 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Atletico Escobar ✓ Pick62.6%
market10%
X · draw23.8%
market23%
2 · Boca Unidos13.5%
market67%

Model estimate: win Atletico Escobar 62.6%, draw 23.8%, win Boca Unidos 13.5%. Model favourite — Atletico Escobar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Escobar (odds1.42) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Atletico Escobar: probability 50% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • no edge over the line (-20 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Escobar - Boca Unidos August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boca Unidos.

Line favourite Fonbet: Boca Unidos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.00 / X 3.00 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: Atletico Escobar 62.6% / X 23.8% / Boca Unidos 13.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 42.9%
1 ✓ Pick 10.0%
X 23.3%
2 66.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Federal A
League table
Atletico Escobar
#2022 ptsGP 196-4-921:32
Boca Unidos
#2221 ptsGP 176-3-822:25
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Atletico Escobar
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.10 Corners 0.0
Boca Unidos
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.61 xG 1.02 xGA 1.33

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Atletico Escobar
Rating 1485
Boca Unidos
Rating 1472

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico Escobar 1 : 1 Boca Unidos
11.41
X3.80
27.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 10.0% @ 7.00 / X 23.3% @ 3.00 / 2 66.7% @ 1.05
Match center

Atletico Escobar - Boca Unidos

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.197 / LogLoss 2.001
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.6% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.197 / LogLoss 2.001
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Escobar 63.3% 62.6% market and model agree
Draw 24.0% 23.8% draw risk
Boca Unidos 12.8% 13.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.6% / 23.8% / 13.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,667 / 1,486 Atletico Escobar / Boca Unidos
RD 199 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,268-2,065 / 1,108-1,864 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 13.5%
X 3.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.00 Fonbet · weak value +338.5% · model 62.6%
Double chance
12 1.35 Fonbet · weak value +2.8% · model 76.2%
1X 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +635.1% · model 86.5%
X2 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 37.4%
Handicap
2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.22 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.35 74.1%
1x 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 8.50 11.8%
x2 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 1.07 93.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.87 53.5%
X 2.25 44.4%
7.70 13.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 1 2.07 48.3%
Under 0.5 2.61 38.3%
Under 1 1.67 59.9%
Match center
Atletico Escobar
D D W W
24.07 21:35 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 2:2 Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:1 Defensores BelgranoDefensores Belgrano
13.06 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 2:0 9 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Escobar 1:0 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Boca Unidos
L W W L W
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boca Unidos 0:3 Khuventud Antoniana
05.07 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boca Unidos 2:0 Sarmento ResistentsiyaSarmento Resistentsiya
14.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boca Unidos 3:1 San-Martin FormosaSan-Martin Formosa
06.06 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boca Unidos 0:2 Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas
31.05 16:30 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Boca Unidos 2:1 Bartolome MitreBartolome Mitre
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points