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Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings

Atletico Germinal - Juventud U.U.

Football
Atletico Germinal
Atletico Germinal
2 : 0
Finished
Juventud U.U.
Juventud U.U.

Atletico Germinal take on Juventud U.U. on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina: Torneo Federal - Etap proigravshikh Standings.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Atletico Germinal — 39%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Germinal): model 38% · market 68% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Atletico Germinal39.4%
X · draw34.3%
2 · Juventud U.U.26.3%

Model estimate: win Atletico Germinal 39.4%, draw 34.3%, win Juventud U.U. 26.3%. Model favourite — Atletico Germinal.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Atletico Germinal (odds2.38) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • (football)
  • • Model backs Kherminal: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.38)
  • • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletico Germinal - Juventud U.U. August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Germinal.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atletico Germinal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / X 6.40 / 2 3.60
  • Glicko: Atletico Germinal 39.4% / X 34.3% / Juventud U.U. 26.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 34.3%
1 67.7%
X 11.6%
2 20.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletico Germinal 0 : 0 Juventud U.U.
12.30
X2.60
23.53

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 67.7% @ 1.10 / X 11.6% @ 6.40 / 2 20.7% @ 3.60
Match center

Atletico Germinal - Juventud U.U.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Atletico Germinal 39.5% 39.4% market and model agree
Draw 35.0% 34.3% draw risk
Juventud U.U. 25.6% 26.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.4% / 34.3% / 26.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,269 / 1,393 Atletico Germinal / Juventud U.U.
RD 200 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 869-1,669 / 1,002-1,784 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.51 market consensus · no value · model 26.3%
X 6.40 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 39.4%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 65.7%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 73.7%
X2 5.40 Fonbet · weak value +227.4% · model 60.6%
Handicap
2 0 2.37 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.14 87.7% 1.51 66.2%
yes 4.60 21.7% 2.39 41.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.41 70.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 5.40 18.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.18 31.5%
X 1.71 58.5%
4.75 21.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.72 58.1%
Under 0.5 2.00 50.0%
Match center
Atletico Germinal
L L L D
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Germinal 0:2 Gilermo BraunGilermo Braun
12.07 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Germinal 0:1 OlimpoOlimpo
05.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Germinal 0:5 AlvaradoAlvarado
14.06 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Atletico Germinal 0:0 Villa MitreVilla Mitre
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Juventud U.U.
D L W L
26.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Juventud U.U. 0:0 Biblioteca AtenasBiblioteca Atenas
11.07 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Juventud U.U. 0:1 ChipollettiChipolletti
14.06 16:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Juventud U.U. 2:1 Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon
31.05 17:00 UTC+0 Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Juventud U.U. 0:1 Urakan Las-ErasUrakan Las-Eras
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points