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Argentina. Torneo Federal A
Argentina. Torneo Federal A
26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Torneo Federal A

Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Football
Douglas Haig
Douglas Haig
2 : 1
Finished
9 de Julio Rafaela
9 de Julio Rafaela
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.78) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.78)
  • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio Rafaela July 26, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Douglas Haig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.08 / X 6.30 / 2 3.68

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 35.6%
1 68.3%
X 11.7%
2 20.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Douglas Haig 1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
12.17
X2.94
23.33

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 26.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Douglas Haig - 9 de Julio Rafaela

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 41.5% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.514 / LogLoss 0.879
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 41.5% fact: home hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.514 / LogLoss 0.879
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.46 market consensus · line only
X 6.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.08 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.33 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.45 69.0% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.55 39.2% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 6.10 16.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.88 34.7%
X 1.89 52.9%
4.28 23.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.26 44.3%
Under 1 1.57 63.7%
Match center
Douglas Haig
D L L
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Douglas Haig 0:0 Sportivo Las-ParekhasSportivo Las-Parekhas
14.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Douglas Haig 0:2 El LinquenoEl Linqueno
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
Douglas Haig 0:1 Defensores BelgranoDefensores Belgrano
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
9 de Julio Rafaela
L L L D D
13.07 19:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 1:2 Defensores BelgranoDefensores Belgrano
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 0:3 Khimnasiya E.R.Khimnasiya E.R.
13.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 0:2 Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar
07.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Sportivo Las-ParekhasSportivo Las-Parekhas
31.05 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Federal Standings
9 de Julio Rafaela 2:2 Independente ChivilkoyIndependente Chivilkoy
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points