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Argentina. Torneo Regional. Amateur

27.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Finished

Argentina. Torneo Regional. Amateur

Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso

Football

Deportivo Metalurgico

1 : 0

Finished

Estrella de Berisso

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Deportivo Metalurgico — 62%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Metalurgico): model 55% · market 63% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportivo Metalurgico ✓ Pick61.9%

market63%

X · draw24.3%

market25%

2 · Estrella de Berisso13.8%

market13%

Model estimate: win Deportivo Metalurgico 61.9%, draw 24.3%, win Estrella de Berisso 13.8%. Model favourite — Deportivo Metalurgico.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportivo Metalurgico (odds1.43) Score 2:1 confidence 56% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Deportivo Metalurgico: probability 56% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.43)
• no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Metalurgico.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Metalurgico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 3.80 / 2 7.30
Glicko: Deportivo Metalurgico 61.9% / X 24.3% / Estrella de Berisso 13.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 ✓ Pick 62.6%

X 24.6%

2 12.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Promocional Amateur

League table

Deportivo Metalurgico

#316 ptsGP 75-1-112:4

DWWLW

Estrella de Berisso

#148 ptsGP 72-2-36:10

LLDDW

Best price across 6 books

1 1.48 Bet365

X 3.75 Pinnacle

2 7.95 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Metalurgico 1 : 0 Estrella de Berisso

11.42

X3.74

27.75

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC

Match center

Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso

Deportivo Metalurgico: Win Deportivo Metalurgico: Draw Estrella de Berisso Win: Obschiy total golov bolshe : Obschiy total golov menshe : Individualnyy total golov Deportivo Metalurgico bolshe : Individualnyy total golov Deportivo Metalurgico menshe : Individualnyy total g…

Form 0/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.9% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.223 / LogLoss 0.480

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 61.9% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.223 / LogLoss 0.480

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Deportivo Metalurgico 62.3% 61.9% market and model agree

Draw 24.5% 24.3% draw risk

Estrella de Berisso 13.1% 13.8%

1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 61.9% / 24.3% / 13.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,500 / 1,291 Deportivo Metalurgico / Estrella de Berisso

RD 350 / 256 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 780-1,803 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.95 market consensus · no value · model 13.8%

X 3.71 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.46 market consensus · no value · model 61.9%

Double chance

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.7%

1X 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 86.2%

X2 2.60 market consensus · no value · model 38.1%

Handicap

2 +1 1.97 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.75 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.53 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.53 65.4%
yes	2.34 42.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.22 82.0%
1x	1.06 94.3%
x2	2.60 38.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.03 49.3%
X	2.05 48.8%
	7.60 13.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 0.5	1.42 70.4%
Over 1	2.09 47.9%
Under 0.5	2.66 37.6%
Under 1	1.66 60.2%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-1-1, avg 3.8 gls

2026-07-27 · GV San-Khose Oruro 2:1 Universitario Vinto

2025-12-13 · GV San-Khose Oruro 5:0 Universitario Vinto

2025-07-20 · GV San-Khose Oruro 0:4 Universitario Vinto

2024-12-03 · GV San-Khose Oruro 4:1 Universitario Vinto

2024-08-07 · GV San-Khose Oruro 1:1 Universitario Vinto

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.7 (Betcity) · X 4 (Betcity) · 2 4.2 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.65	3.9	4.1
Winline	1.66	3.9	4.2
Fonbet	1.65	3.9	4.1
Betcity	1.7	4	4.1

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Estrella de Berisso

L L

12.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Estrella de Berisso 2:3 Sotsial Atletiko Televison

05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Estrella de Berisso 1:2 Juventud de Bernal

0 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.5 Scored

2.5 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso

Deportivo Metalurgico

0 matches total

Estrella de Berisso

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso

AI match prediction Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso July 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Deportivo Metalurgico - Estrella de Berisso

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Match history