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Argentina. Torneo Regional. Amateur

28.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Finished

Argentina. Torneo Regional. Amateur

Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew

Football

Juventud de Bernal

0 : 3

Finished

Defensores de Glew

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Defensores de Glew — 49%

Pure model vs market (2 · Defensores de Glew): model 51% · market 62% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Juventud de Bernal26.9%

X · draw24.5%

2 · Defensores de Glew48.6%

Model estimate: win Juventud de Bernal 26.9%, draw 24.5%, win Defensores de Glew 48.6%. Model favourite — Defensores de Glew.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Defensores de Glew (odds1.26) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct

• Model backs Defensores de Glew: probability 50% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
• no edge over the line (-29 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Defensores de Glew.

Line favourite Fonbet: Defensores de Glew. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.60 / X 4.05 / 2 1.45
Glicko: Juventud de Bernal 26.9% / X 24.5% / Defensores de Glew 48.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%

1 16.0%

X 22.1%

2 61.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Torneo Promocional Amateur

League table

Juventud de Bernal

#173 ptsGP 71-0-64:19

LWLLL

Defensores de Glew

#911 ptsGP 73-2-214:7

DWWDL

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Juventud de Bernal

W-D-L 1-0-9 Scored 0.44 Conceded 2.55 xG 0.72 xGA 1.97

Defensores de Glew

W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.38 Conceded 0.85 xG 1.13 xGA 1.06

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Juventud de Bernal

Rating 1280

Defensores de Glew

Rating 1547

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Juventud de Bernal 1 : 4 Defensores de Glew

18.15

X3.85

21.39

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 14:00 UTC

Match center

Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew

Juventud de Bernal: Win Juventud de Bernal: Draw Defensores Glew Win: Obschiy total golov bolshe : Obschiy total golov menshe : Individualnyy total golov Juventud de Bernal bolshe : Individualnyy total golov Juventud de Bernal menshe : Individualnyy total golov Defensores …

Form 3/3 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Overview

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:3

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.6% fact: away hit / ROI 170.0% / Brier 0.397 / LogLoss 0.722

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 48.6% fact: away hit / ROI 170.0% / Brier 0.397 / LogLoss 0.722

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Juventud de Bernal 26.9% 26.9%

Draw 24.7% 24.5% draw risk

Defensores de Glew 48.4% 48.6% market and model agree

1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 26.9% / 24.5% / 48.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,352 / 1,715 Juventud de Bernal / Defensores de Glew

RD 224 / 216 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 904-1,800 / 1,283-2,147 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.45 Fonbet · no value · model 48.6%

X 4.05 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 5.60 Fonbet · no value · model 26.9%

Double chance

12 1.19 Fonbet · no value · model 75.5%

1X 2.35 Fonbet · value +20.8% · model 51.4%

X2 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 73.1%

Handicap

2 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only

2 0 1.17 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 2.08 market consensus · line only

1 0 4.40 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.63 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.63 61.4%
yes	2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.02 98.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%
1x	3.60 27.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.35 42.6%
x2	1.12 89.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.11 90.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	7.70 13.0%
X	2.09 47.9%
	1.99 50.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.92 52.1%
Under 1	1.79 55.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls

2026-07-16 · Khuventud Ipanense 1:1 12 De Oktubre

Source: ruscore

Juventud de Bernal

L W L

14.07 14:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Juventud de Bernal 0:4 Provincial

05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Juventud de Bernal 2:1 Estrella de Berisso

06.06 17:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Juventud de Bernal 0:1 Nautiko

1 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

0.7 Scored

2.0 Conceded

3 Points

Defensores de Glew

W D W

22.07 16:30 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Defensores de Glew 2:0 Sotsial Atletiko Televison

10.07 12:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Defensores de Glew 0:0 Nautiko

05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Torneo Promocional Amateur Standings

Defensores de Glew 5:0 Atletico Pilar

2 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.3 Scored

0.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew

Juventud de Bernal

0 matches total

Defensores de Glew

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew

AI match prediction Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew July 28, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Juventud de Bernal - Defensores de Glew

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Match history