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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
05.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings

Huracán Res. - Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Football
Huracán Res.
Huracán Res.
0 : 1
Finished
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Huracán Res. meet Belgrano Córdoba Res. on August 5, 2026 in the Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Huracán Res. 0-1-1, Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0-1-1. The bookmaker line makes Huracán Res. the favourite at about 39%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 39% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Huracán Res.39%

Pure model vs market (1 · Huracán Res.): model 44% · market 39% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Huracán Res.39.3%
X · draw29.2%
2 · Belgrano Córdoba Res.31.5%

Model estimate: win Huracán Res. 39.3%, draw 29.2%, win Belgrano Córdoba Res. 31.5%. Model favourite — Huracán Res..

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Huracán Res. (odds2.31) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Atletiko Khurakan 2: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.31)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Huracán Res. - Belgrano Córdoba Res. August 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Huracán Res..

Strongest: Huracán Res. - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.28 / X 3.05 / 2 2.84
  • 1X2 market: Huracán Res. 39.2% / X 29.3% / Belgrano Córdoba Res. 31.5%
  • Glicko: Huracán Res. 39.3% / X 29.2% / Belgrano Córdoba Res. 31.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7% 12 books · best price +2.4%
1 39.0%
X 29.6%
2 31.4%

Odds source: consensus of 12 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Reserve League
League table
Huracán Res.
#2027 ptsGP 217-6-824:20
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
#1431 ptsGP 219-4-829:34
Best price across 10 books
1 2.36 Pinnacle
X 3.20 10Bet
2 3.00 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Huracán Res.
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.80 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.27 xGA 1.09
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.49 Conceded 1.41 xG 1.34 xGA 1.17

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Huracán Res.
Rating 1503
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Rating 1506

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Huracán Res. 1 : 1 Belgrano Córdoba Res.
12.34
X3.05
22.90

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 39.2% @ 2.28 / X 29.3% @ 3.05 / 2 31.5% @ 2.84
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Huracán Res. 39%
💹 Market Huracán Res. 3919%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Huracán Res. - Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.709 / LogLoss 1.155
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 39.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.709 / LogLoss 1.155
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Huracán Res. 39.0% 39.3% market and model agree
Draw 29.6% 29.2% draw risk
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 31.4% 31.5%
1X2: 12 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 39.3% / 29.2% / 31.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,310 / 1,301 Huracan / Belgrano 2
RD 205 / 200 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 900-1,719 / 902-1,700 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 market consensus · no value · model 31.5%
X 3.05 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.29 market consensus · no value · model 39.3%
Double chance
12 1.31 market consensus · no value · model 70.8%
1X 1.33 market consensus · no value · model 68.5%
X2 1.48 market consensus · no value · model 60.7%
Handicap
2 0 2.06 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.67 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.25 44.4% 2.33 42.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.25 30.8% 2.88 34.7%
2.85 35.1% 2.91 34.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6%
1x 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 8.00 12.5%
0_1 7.50 13.3%
0_2 12.00 8.3%
0_3 29.00 3.5%
0_4 71.00 1.4%
1_0 6.50 15.4%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 8.50 11.8%
1_3 19.00 5.3%
1_4 56.00 1.8%
2_0 9.50 10.5%
2_1 7.50 13.3%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 67.00 1.5%
3_0 19.00 5.3%
3_1 15.00 6.7%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
Match center
Huracán Res.
L D
23.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Huracán Res. 0:1 Lanus 2Lanus 2
16.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Huracán Res. 1:1 Nyuells Old Boys 2Nyuells Old Boys 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
L D
28.07 18:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 0:4 Boka Khuniors 2Boka Khuniors 2
19.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1:1 Ferro 2Ferro 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points