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Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings

Talleres Cordoba (r) - River Pleyt 2

Football
Talleres Cordoba (r)
Talleres Cordoba (r)
0 : 1
Finished
River Pleyt 2
River Pleyt 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 River Pleyt 2 — 38%

Pure model vs market (2 · River Pleyt 2): model 40% · market 38% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Talleres Cordoba (r)32.8%
X · draw28.8%
2 · River Pleyt 238.4%

Model estimate: win Talleres Cordoba (r) 32.8%, draw 28.8%, win River Pleyt 2 38.4%. Model favourite — River Pleyt 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.19) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.19)
  • • edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Talleres Cordoba (r) - River Pleyt 2 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like River Pleyt 2.

Strongest: River Pleyt 2 - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.76 / X 3.06 / 2 2.34
  • 1X2 market: Talleres Cordoba (r) 32.4% / X 29.3% / River Pleyt 2 38.3%
  • Glicko: Talleres Cordoba (r) 32.8% / X 28.8% / River Pleyt 2 38.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.6%
1 32.5%
X 29.3%
2 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.68 ↑ 4.30
1X2 X 3.30 ↓ 1.20
1X2 2 4.70 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Talleres Cordoba (r) 1 : 2 River Pleyt 2
12.82
X3.08
22.37

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model River Pleyt 2 38%
💹 Market River Pleyt 2 3830%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Talleres Cordoba (r) - River Pleyt 2

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.4% fact: away hit / ROI 150.0% / Brier 0.570 / LogLoss 0.957
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 38.4% fact: away hit / ROI 150.0% / Brier 0.570 / LogLoss 0.957
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Talleres Cordoba (r) 32.6% 32.8%
Draw 29.2% 28.8% draw risk
River Pleyt 2 38.3% 38.4% market and model agree
1X2: 13 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.8% / 28.8% / 38.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,629 / 1,771 Talleres Cordoba (r) / River Pleyt 2
RD 221 / 212 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,188-2,070 / 1,347-2,195 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 38.4%
X 1.12 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 32.8%
Double chance
12 5.10 Fonbet · weak value +263.2% · model 71.2%
1X 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 61.6%
X2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 67.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.63 38.0% 2.63 38.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7%
2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.87 53.5%
yes 10.50 9.5% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 5.10 19.6%
1x 1.43 69.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.32 75.8% 1.39 71.9% 1.04 96.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 7.50 13.3%
0_1 6.25 16.0%
0_2 9.50 10.5%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 51.00 2.0%
0_5 126.00 0.8%
1_0 7.00 14.3%
1_1 5.50 18.2%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 15.00 6.7%
1_4 41.00 2.4%
1_5 101.00 1.0%
2_0 12.00 8.3%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 12.00 8.3%
2_3 26.00 3.9%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 29.00 3.5%
Match center
Talleres Cordoba (r)
W
19.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
Talleres Cordoba (r) 1:0 Veles Sarsfild 2Veles Sarsfild 2
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
River Pleyt 2
D
22.07 20:00 UTC Argentina: Reserve tournament - Clausura Standings
River Pleyt 2 2:2 Barrakas Sentral 2Barrakas Sentral 2
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points