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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21

Football
Blacktown City
Blacktown City
3 : 2
Finished
FC Sydney U21
FC Sydney U21

Blacktown City take on FC Sydney U21 on August 2, 2026 in the Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Blacktown City 3-1-1, FC Sydney U21 1-2-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Blacktown City50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Blacktown City): model 52% · market 69% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Blacktown City50.1%
X · draw24.7%
2 · FC Sydney U2125.2%

Model estimate: win Blacktown City 50.1%, draw 24.7%, win FC Sydney U21 25.2%. Model favourite — Blacktown City.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FC Sydney U21 (odds2.40) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs FK Sidney U23: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
  • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21 August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blacktown City.

Line favourite Fonbet: Blacktown City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 6.00 / 2 3.80
  • Glicko: Blacktown City 50.1% / X 24.7% / FC Sydney U21 25.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 39.1%
1 69.1%
X 12.0%
2 18.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
Blacktown City
#1328 ptsGP 257-7-1135:39
FC Sydney U21
#636 ptsGP 2510-6-932:34
Best price across 12 books
1 2.00 Unibet
X 3.70 Dafabet
2 3.50 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Blacktown City
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.21 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.43 xGA 1.54
FC Sydney U21
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.29 xG 1.26 xGA 1.69

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Blacktown City
Rating 1500 xG 1.43 Win 45%
FC Sydney U21
Rating 1520 xG 1.10 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Blacktown City 1 : 2 FC Sydney U21
11.93
X3.48
23.41

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 69.1% @ 1.04 / X 12.0% @ 6.00 / 2 18.9% @ 3.80
Match center

Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Blacktown City 50.0% 50.1% market and model agree
Draw 24.8% 24.7% draw risk
FC Sydney U21 25.2% 25.2%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.1% / 24.7% / 25.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,699 / 1,539 Blacktown City / FC Sydney U21
RD 184 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,331-2,067 / 1,216-1,862 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus · no value · model 25.2%
X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 50.1%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
1X 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 74.8%
X2 7.10 Fonbet · weak value +254.2% · model 49.9%
Handicap
2 -1 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.75 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.83 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 2.21 45.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.59 62.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
x2 1.86 53.8% 7.10 14.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.44 41.0%
X 2.21 45.3%
4.02 24.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.65 60.6%
Under 1 2.11 47.4%
Match center
Blacktown City
W W W D L
2026-07-26 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City Wollongong Wolves 0:2 Blacktown City
2026-07-19 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City Blacktown City 3:0 St. George City
2026-07-11 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City Southern Districts Raiders 1:3 Blacktown City
2026-07-05 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City Blacktown City 0:0 Sydney United
2026-06-28 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City Marconi Stallions 2:0 Blacktown City
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
FC Sydney U21
D D L L W
2026-07-25 NSW NPL 2026
St. George Saints 0:0 FC Sydney U21 FC Sydney U21
2026-07-17 NSW NPL 2026
FC Sydney U21 0:0 Manly United FC Sydney U21
2026-07-11 NSW NPL 2026
APIA Tigers 2:1 FC Sydney U21 FC Sydney U21
2026-07-04 NSW NPL 2026
University New South Wales 3:2 FC Sydney U21 FC Sydney U21
2026-06-30 NSW NPL 2026
Southern Districts Raiders 0:1 FC Sydney U21 FC Sydney U21
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points