Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21
Blacktown City take on FC Sydney U21 on August 2, 2026 in the Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League.
Recent form (W-D-L): Blacktown City 3-1-1, FC Sydney U21 1-2-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 50% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Blacktown City — 50%
Pure model vs market (1 · Blacktown City): model 52% · market 69% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Blacktown City 50.1%, draw 24.7%, win FC Sydney U21 25.2%. Model favourite — Blacktown City.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs FK Sidney U23: probability 50% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.40)
- • edge over the line +8 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21 August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blacktown City.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 6.00 / 2 3.80
- Glicko: Blacktown City 50.1% / X 24.7% / FC Sydney U21 25.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
New South Wales NPLHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.90 52.6% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.86 53.8% | 7.10 14.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.44 41.0% | |
| X | 2.21 45.3% |
| 4.02 24.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.11 47.4% |
Blacktown City
FC Sydney U21
Full head-to-head historyBlacktown City - FC Sydney U21
Match history
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The Blacktown City - FC Sydney U21 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form