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Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League
02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League

Marconi Stallions - St. George City

Football
Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Finished
St. George City
St. George City

Marconi Stallions take on St. George City on August 2, 2026 in the Australia. New South Wales. National Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Marconi Stallions 3-0-2, St. George City 1-1-3. The market favourite is Marconi Stallions at roughly 68%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 67% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Marconi Stallions67%

Pure model vs market (1 · Marconi Stallions): model 53% · market 68% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Marconi Stallions ✓ Pick66.8%
market68%
X · draw20.8%
market21%
2 · St. George City12.4%
market11%

Model estimate: win Marconi Stallions 66.8%, draw 20.8%, win St. George City 12.4%. Model favourite — Marconi Stallions.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Marconi Stallions (odds2.06) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Model backs Markoni Stallions: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.06)
  • edge over the line +1 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Marconi Stallions - St. George City August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Marconi Stallions.

Strongest: Marconi Stallions - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.34 / X 4.35 / 2 7.89
  • 1X2 market: Marconi Stallions 67.6% / X 20.8% / St. George City 11.6%
  • Glicko: Marconi Stallions 66.8% / X 20.8% / St. George City 12.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 ✓ Pick 67.7%
X 20.8%
2 11.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

New South Wales NPL
League table
Marconi Stallions
#255 ptsGP 2517-4-446:17
St. George City
#1428 ptsGP 257-7-1123:40
Best price across 13 books
1 1.41 Unibet
X 4.82 Pinnacle
2 10.10 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Marconi Stallions
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.20 Conceded 0.50 xG 1.98 xGA 1.00
St. George City
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.30 xGA 1.40

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Marconi Stallions
Rating 1684 xG 1.96 Win 66%
St. George City
Rating 1444 xG 0.73 Win 13%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Marconi Stallions 3 : 1 St. George City
11.36
X4.45
27.08

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 05:00 UTC
Market 1 67.7% @ 1.34 / X 20.8% @ 4.35 / 2 11.5% @ 7.89
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Marconi Stallions 67%
💹 Market Marconi Stallions 6761%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Marconi Stallions - St. George City

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Marconi Stallions 67.7% 66.8% market and model agree
Draw 20.7% 20.8% draw risk
St. George City 11.6% 12.4%
xG - 1.96 : 0.73
1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 66.8% / 20.8% / 12.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,624 / 1,417 Marconi Stallions / St. George City
RD 185 / 186 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,254-1,993 / 1,045-1,790 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 12.4%
X 5.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.34 market consensus · no value · model 66.8%
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 79.2%
1X 4.50 Fonbet · weak value +294.3% · model 87.6%
X2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 33.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 5.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.25 23.5% 4.60 21.7% 4.50 22.2%
8.80 11.4% 7.41 13.5% 7.50 13.3% 8.25 12.1% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 4.50 22.2%
x2 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 9.00 11.1%
0_1 17.00 5.9%
0_2 46.00 2.2%
0_3 126.00 0.8%
1_0 5.25 19.1%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_2 21.00 4.8%
1_3 67.00 1.5%
2_0 5.25 19.1%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 17.00 5.9%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 7.50 13.3%
3_1 9.50 10.5%
3_2 23.00 4.4%
3_3 67.00 1.5%
4_0 13.00 7.7%
4_1 15.00 6.7%
Match center
Marconi Stallions
L L W W W
2026-07-25 NSW NPL 2026
Marconi Stallions Southern Districts Raiders 2:1 Marconi Stallions
2026-07-19 NSW NPL 2026
Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 0:1 Sydney United
2026-07-12 NSW NPL 2026
Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 3:0 Western Sydney Wanderers 2
2026-07-05 NSW NPL 2026
Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2:0 St. George Saints
2026-06-28 NSW NPL 2026
Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 2:0 Blacktown City
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
St. George City
W L L D L
2026-07-25 NSW NPL 2026
St. George City 1:0 Sydney United St. George City
2026-07-19 NSW NPL 2026
Blacktown City 3:0 St. George City St. George City
2026-07-11 NSW NPL 2026
St. George City 0:2 University New South Wales St. George City
2026-07-05 NSW NPL 2026
Wollongong Wolves 3:3 St. George City St. George City
2026-06-27 NSW NPL 2026
Southern Districts Raiders 3:1 St. George City St. George City
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points