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Australia. Women. Queensland. National Premier League

28.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction

28.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Finished

Australia. Women. Queensland. National Premier League

Gold Coast Knights (w) - Lions Brisbane (w)

Football

Gold Coast Knights (w)

0 : 2

Finished

Lions Brisbane (w)

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gold Coast Knights (w) — 58%

1 · Gold Coast Knights (w) ✓ Pick58.4%

X · draw19.5%

2 · Lions Brisbane (w)22.1%

Model estimate: win Gold Coast Knights (w) 58.4%, draw 19.5%, win Lions Brisbane (w) 22.1%. Model favourite — Gold Coast Knights (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gold Coast Knights (w) (odds6.50) Score 2:1 Over 0.5 (odds1.45) ✓ Handicap H1 +0 (odds3.50) ✗ confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed

• liniya na pik P1 22.00→29.00 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh): probability 52% vs 15% on the line (odds 6.50)
• edge over the line +36 pp — value pick
• Expected score 2:1
• Total: Over 0.5: model expects a total of ~3 goals
• at line 0.5 (odds 1.45)
• Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 2:1 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 3.50).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gold Coast Knights (w) - Lions Brisbane (w) July 28, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Glicko: Gold Coast Knights (w) 58.4% / X 19.5% / Lions Brisbane (w) 22.1%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 1 22.00 ↓ 1.04

1X2 X 8.50 ↓ 6.90

1X2 2 1.08 ↑ 36.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.07.2026 08:30 UTC

Match center

Gold Coast Knights (w) - Lions Brisbane (w)

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.985 / LogLoss 1.508

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.985 / LogLoss 1.508

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Gold Coast Knights (w) 84.8% 58.4% market and model agree

Draw 12.8% 19.5% draw risk

Lions Brisbane (w) 2.5% 22.1%

1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 58.4% / 19.5% / 22.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,757 / 1,690 Gold Coast Knights (w) / Lions Brisbane (w)

RD 196 / 174 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,364-2,150 / 1,342-2,038 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 58.4%

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 80.5%

1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 77.9%

X2 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 41.6%

Handicap

2 0 4.70 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.14 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.72 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.72 58.1%
yes	2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.06 94.3%
1x	1.05 95.2%
x2	8.00 12.5%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.11 90.1%
	1.01 99.0%
	9.50 10.5%
	1.14 87.7%
	5.20 19.2%
	12.00 8.3%
	1.02 98.0%
	4.70 21.3%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 0.5	1.50 66.7%
Over 1.5	6.70 14.9%
Over 2.5	9.00 11.1%
Over 3.5	10.50 9.5%
Over 4.5	10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5	2.45 40.8%
Under 1.5	1.06 94.3%
Under 2.5	1.02 98.0%
Under 3.5	1.02 98.0%
Under 4.5	1.01 99.0%

Match center

Gold Coast Knights (w)

W W D W W

25.07 06:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold Coast Knights (w) 4:2 Souths Strikers (Zh)

17.07 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold Coast Knights (w) 6:0 FQ Academy QAS (Zh)

11.07 05:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold Coast Knights (w) 1:1 Olimpik FK (Zh)

08.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold Coast Knights (w) 13:0 Souths Strikers (Zh)

04.07 06:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold Coast Knights (w) 5:1 Capalaba (Zh)

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

5.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

13 Points

Lions Brisbane (w)

W L W W L

24.07 08:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Lions Brisbane (w) 3:1 Capalaba (Zh)

18.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Lions Brisbane (w) 2:3 Brisben Siti (Zh)

11.07 07:00 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Lions Brisbane (w) 3:1 Istern Saberbs (Zh)

04.07 05:15 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Lions Brisbane (w) 5:0 Olimpik FK (Zh)

30.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Lions Brisbane (w) 0:2 Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh)

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGold Coast Knights (w) - Lions Brisbane (w)

Gold Coast Knights (w)

1 matches total

Lions Brisbane (w)

Gold Coast Knights (w): 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lions Brisbane (w): 1 (100%)

Biggest win Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh) 2:0 (30.06 07:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 30.06 07:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.06 07:30 UTC Australia: NPL Queensland Women Standings

Gold-Kost Nayts (Zh)

2:0

Kvinslend Layons (Zh)