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Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3
Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3
31.07.2026 08:30 UTC Match prediction
31.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Australia. Victoria. National Premier League 3

Whittlesea United - Eastern Lions

Football
Whittlesea United
Whittlesea United
3 : 0
Finished
Eastern Lions
Eastern Lions
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Whittlesea United — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Whittlesea United): model 52% · market 45% Δ +7 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Whittlesea United50.5%
X · draw20.7%
2 · Eastern Lions28.8%

Model estimate: win Whittlesea United 50.5%, draw 20.7%, win Eastern Lions 28.8%. Model favourite — Whittlesea United.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Whittlesea United (odds1.98) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Whittlesea United: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.98)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Whittlesea United - Eastern Lions July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Whittlesea United.

Line favourite market consensus: Whittlesea United. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.03 / X 3.81 / 2 2.89
  • Glicko: Whittlesea United 50.5% / X 20.7% / Eastern Lions 28.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 44.7%
X 23.8%
2 31.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.65 ↓ 1.03
1X2 X 3.35 ↓ 1.75
1X2 2 4.80 ↑ 19.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Whittlesea United 1 : 1 Eastern Lions
12.08
X3.70
22.85

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Whittlesea United - Eastern Lions

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.5% fact: home hit / ROI 103.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.684
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 50.5% fact: home hit / ROI 103.0% / Brier 0.371 / LogLoss 0.684
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Whittlesea United 44.7% 50.5% market and model agree
Draw 23.8% 20.7% draw risk
Eastern Lions 31.4% 28.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 50.5% / 20.7% / 28.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,697 / 1,538 Whittlesea United / Eastern Lions
RD 184 / 200 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,330-2,064 / 1,138-1,939 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · no value · model 28.8%
X 3.81 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.03 market consensus · no value · model 50.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.20 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.32 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.32 43.1%
yes 1.54 64.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.57 38.9%
X 2.36 42.4%
3.38 29.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.55 64.5%
Under 1 2.30 43.5%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.60 62.5%
2.20 45.5%
Match center
Whittlesea United
D D D W W
25.07 06:15 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Whittlesea United 0:0 Altona SitiAltona Siti
17.07 08:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Whittlesea United 1:1 Essendon Royals SCEssendon Royals SC
10.07 08:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Whittlesea United 1:1 Kingston SitiKingston Siti
03.07 07:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Whittlesea United 3:1 Box HillBox Hill
12.06 08:30 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Whittlesea United 4:0 Verribi SitiVerribi Siti
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Eastern Lions
D D L W
24.07 07:45 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Eastern Lions 1:1 Box HillBox Hill
17.07 07:45 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Eastern Lions 1:1 Bayside ArgonautsBayside Argonauts
13.06 05:00 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Eastern Lions 1:2 Goulbern Velli SansGoulbern Velli Sans
05.06 07:45 UTC Australia: Victoria Premier League 2 Standings
Eastern Lions 2:0 Nunawading CityNunawading City
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points