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AI verdict

AI pick LASK win probability ~65% confidence High best odds 1.03

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to LASK. Full breakdown below.

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Austria. Bundesliga
Austria. Bundesliga
3rd round 14.08.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
14.08.2026 17:30 UTC 3rd round
Finished

Austria. Bundesliga

LASK - Ried

Football
Stadium Rayffayzen-Arena
Referee Alain Sadikovski, Austria
Capacity 19 080
LASK
LASK
4 : 1
Finished
Ried
Ried

LASK face Ried on August 14, 2026 in the Austria. Bundesliga.

Recent form (W-D-L): LASK 4-0-1, Ried 2-1-2. PropickAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 65% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 LASK — 65%

1 · LASK ✓ Pick64.6%
market 65%
X · draw20.0%
market 20%
2 · Ried15.4%
market 15%

Model estimate: win LASK 64.6%, draw 20.0%, win Ried 15.4%. Model favourite — LASK.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1LASK (odds1.54) Score 2:1 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs LASK: probability 55% vs 65% on the line (odds 1.54)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LASK - Ried August 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like LASK.

Line favourite Fonbet: LASK. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 15.00 / 2 6.40
  • Glicko: LASK 64.6% / X 20.0% / Ried 15.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.3% 5 books · best price +1.4%
1 ✓ Pick 65.3%
X 20.0%
2 14.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.42 ↓ 1.03
1X2 X 4.80 ↑ 15.00
1X2 2 6.50 ↑ 36.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Bundesliga
League table
LASK
#19 ptsGP 33-0-09:1
Ried
#101 ptsGP 30-1-23:7
Best price across 14 books
1 1.53 Superbet
X 4.83 Pinnacle
2 6.55 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
LASK
W-D-L 8-2-0 Scored 2.69 Conceded 0.75 xG 1.67 xGA 1.23 Corners 5.7
Ried
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.31 xG 1.30 xGA 1.24 Corners 4.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
LASK
Rating 1690 xG 1.89 Win 62%
Ried
Rating 1423 xG 0.84 Win 16%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
LASK
65%
1.46
Draw
20%
15.00
Ried
15%
36.00
Total
Over 9.5
50%
1.85
Under 9.5
50%
1.82
Both teams to score
Yes
52%
1.77
No
48%
7.20

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Full-time statistics

Match statistics

LASKRied
50 Ball possession % 50
7 Shots on goal 2
14 Total shots 6
5 Shots off goal 4
2 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside box 3
3 Shots outside box 3
1.73 Expected goals (xG) 0.80
5 Corner kicks 0
1 Offsides 0
6 Fouls 13
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
395 Total passes 394
328 Accurate passes 321

Full-time match statistics: SStats. For reference.

Goals, cards and subs

Match events

  • 74' Red card Robert Ljubičić
  • 90+2' Yellow card
  • 8' Goal P. Sissoko (Stefan Schwab)
  • 18' Goal Moses Usor
  • 10' Goal Samuel Adeniran (Moses Usor)
  • 27' Goal Samuel Adeniran (Melayro Bogarde)
  • 55' Substitution Samuel Adeniran (Christoph Lang)
  • 57' Goal Christoph Lang (Moses Usor)
  • 46' Substitution Sascha Horvath (Alessandro Schöpf)
  • 65' Substitution Stefan Schwab (Martin Rasner)
  • 65' Substitution P. Sissoko (Jonas Mayer)
  • 63' Substitution Melayro Bogarde (Florian Flecker)
  • 63' Substitution Moses Usor (Krystof Daněk)
  • 70' Yellow card Lukas Malicsek
  • 73' Yellow card Samuel Johansen Chukwudi
  • 79' Substitution Oliver Sorg (Tino Kusanović)
  • 83' Substitution Kasper Jørgensen (Nael Kane)
  • 85' Substitution Dejan Radonjic (T. Lund Jensen)

Match events: SStats. For reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

LASK 3 : 1 Ried
11.39
X4.85
27.07

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:1/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Claude, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated11.08.2026 19:40 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
X 21%
2 14%
Score3:0 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1
Per AI data H2H: 2-1
AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 65% 21% 14% 3:0 Over 2.5 No

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
27 predictions Choose an outcome
1 96% 26
X 3% 1
2 0% 0
Match center
Stadium Rayffayzen-Arena
Referee Alain Sadikovski, Austria
Start 14.08.2026 17:30 UTC
Market 1 81.3% @ 1.03 / X 5.6% @ 15.00 / 2 13.1% @ 6.40
Weather +33°C solnechno
Capacity 19,080
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community LASK 96%
🤖 7 AI models LASK 65%
📐 Math model LASK 65%
💹 Market LASK 65%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

LASK - Ried

Itogovyy protokol i rezultaty vstrechi LASK - Rid, 14 avgusta 2026. Highlights i statistika matcha, Correct score. Avstriyskaya futbolnaya Bundesliga 2025/26, 3-y Round. LASK - Rid, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matcha.

Lineups 11/11 probable starting lineup
Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 8 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 64.6% fact: home hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.189 / LogLoss 0.437
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 64.6% fact: home hit / ROI 46.0% / Brier 0.189 / LogLoss 0.437
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
LASK 65.5% 64.6% market and model agree
Draw 19.9% 20.0% draw risk
Ried 14.6% 15.4%
xG - 1.89 : 0.84
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 64.6% / 20.0% / 15.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,776 / 1,668 LASK / Ried
RD 249 / 242 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,278-2,274 / 1,184-2,153 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.26 market consensus · no value · model 15.4%
X 4.64 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 64.6%
Double chance
12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 80.0%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 84.6%
X2 2.64 market consensus · no value · model 35.4%
Handicap
2 -1 3.70 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 7.20 13.9% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.05 95.2% 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0%
1x 1.09 91.7% 1.09 91.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7% 10.50 9.5% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.90 52.6%
X 2.54 39.4%
6.30 15.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.55 64.5%
Over 1.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 1 2.30 43.5%
Under 1.5 1.58 63.3%
Match center
3-5-2 3-4-3
1 Lukas Yungvirt 4 Khaver Mbuyamba 16 Andres Andrade 43 Alemão 2 Dzhordzh Bello 6 Melayro Bogarde 10 Robert Lyubichich 20 Kasper Yergensen 30 Sasha Khorvat 7 S. Adeniran 8 Mozes Usor 1 A. Leitner 5 Deyan Radonich 28 S. Chukwudi 30 O. Steurer 4 L. Malicsek 6 Y. Maart 7 O. Sorg 22 Shtefan Shvab 9 N. Sissoko 12 A. Bajic 47 E. Eghosa
LASK
Formation 3-5-2
Probable starting lineup
1 LYLukas Yungvirt Lukas Yungvirt
4 KMKhaver Mbuyamba Khaver Mbuyamba
16 AAAndres Andrade Andres Andrade
43 AAlemão Alemão
2 DBDzhordzh Bello Dzhordzh Bello
6 MBMelayro Bogarde Melayro Bogarde
10 RLRobert Lyubichich Robert Lyubichich
20 KYKasper Yergensen Kasper Yergensen
30 SKSasha Khorvat Sasha Khorvat
7 SAS. Adeniran S. Adeniran
8 MUMozes Usor Mozes Usor
Head coach Ditmar Kyubauer
Ried
Formation 3-4-3
Probable starting lineup
1 ALA. Leitner A. Leitner
5 DRDeyan Radonich Deyan Radonich
28 SCS. Chukwudi S. Chukwudi
30 OSO. Steurer O. Steurer
4 LML. Malicsek L. Malicsek
6 YMY. Maart Y. Maart
7 OSO. Sorg O. Sorg
22 SSShtefan Shvab Shtefan Shvab
9 NS N. Sissoko
12 ABA. Bajic A. Bajic
47 EEE. Eghosa E. Eghosa
LASK

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Ried

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Formations 3-5-2 / 3-4-3
SStats Market - Glicko - Form - H2H
Match center
LASK Team form Ried
10 Matches 10
29 Goals 17
2.9 Per match 1.7
7 Wins 3
0 Draws 3
3 Losses 4

Form & head-to-head

H2H 2-3-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-08-14 · LASK 4:1 Rid
2026-03-18 · LASK 2:1 Rid
2026-02-14 · LASK 1:1 Rid
2025-08-30 · LASK 1:3 Rid
2023-02-18 · LASK 1:1 Rid
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.57 (Pari) · X 4.3 (Winline) · 2 6.1 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.57 4.15 5.4
Winline 1.47 4.3 6
Fonbet 1.57 4.15 5.4
Betcity 1.5 4.3 6.1
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

52 Ball possession 48
11 Vsego udarov 3
7 Shots on target 1
3 Shots off target 2
5 Udary ot vorot 7
1 Blokirovannye udary 0
14 Shtrafnye 7
6 Corners 0
1 Offsides 0
15 Auty 21
0 Saves 3
6 Fouls 14
1 Cards total 3
0 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
0 Second yellows 0
3 Travmy 1
5 Substitutions 5
Source: ruscore
LASK
W W W W L
2026-08-09 Bundesliga 26/27
LASK Austria Vienna 0:2 LASK
2026-07-31 Bundesliga 26/27
LASK LASK 3:0 GAK
2026-07-25 OFB Cup 26/27
LASK Kalsdorf 0:7 LASK
2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026
LASK LASK 2:0 Fortuna Düsseldorf
2026-07-14 Club Friendly Games 2026
LASK LASK 1:2 Fenerbahce
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Ried
L D W W L
2026-08-09 Bundesliga 26/27
Ried 1:2 Rapid Vienna Ried
2026-08-02 Bundesliga 26/27
Austria Lustenau 1:1 Ried Ried
2026-07-24 OFB Cup 26/27
Dornbirn 1:5 Ried Ried
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Ried 3:0 Rot-Weiss Essen Ried
2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026
Jahn Regensburg 4:2 Ried Ried
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: LASK - Ried

LASK
8 matches total
Ried
LASK: 1 (12.5%)
Draws:5 (62.5%)
Ried: 2 (25%)
Biggest win LASK 4:1 (14.08, 12:30) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 14.08, 12:30) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (14.02, 09:00) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

11 Goals scored 11
11 Goals conceded 11

Match history

Event
LASK
4:1
Ried
Event
LASK
1:2
Ried
Event
LASK
1:1
Ried
Event
LASK
1:3
Ried
Event
LASK
1:1
Ried
Event
LASK
1:1
Ried
Event
LASK
1:1
Ried
Event
LASK
1:1
Ried
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 LASK
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Ried
LASK Team comparison Ried
2 Games 2
2 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
5 Scored 2
0 Conceded 3
6 Points 1
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
22.5 Shots on goal 20
7.5 Udary v stvor 8
Matches in history 32
Biggest draw 2:2
Highest-scoring match 5:2
Bundesliga 27 / 8 / 8 / 11 / 31 / 39
Cup Avstrii 4 / 1 / 0 / 3 / 4 / 8
Tovarischeskiy (kluby) 1 / 0 / 1 / 0 / 1 / 1

LASK Rid 2 Games 2 Wins 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 5 Scored 2 0 Conceded 3 6 Points 1 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 22.5 Shots on goal 20 7.5 Udary v stvor 8 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 8.5 Uglovye 6 3.5 Offsaydy 2.5 11 Foly 11.5 58 % vladeniya myachom 53 1 Warnings 1.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Sleduyuschiy match 07.11.2026 Austria — Bundesliga Rid –:– LASK 12 round Goly Nyama Pap Sissoko Shtefan Shvab 0:1 9' Samuel Adeniran Mozes Usor 1 10' Mozes Usor Andres Andrade 2:1 18' Samuel Adeniran Melayro Bogard 3:1 27' Kristof Lang Mozes Usor 4:1 58' Nakazaniya Lukas Malichek 70' Semyuel Chukvudi 73' Robert Lyubichich 74' Joris Boguo 90+2'

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LASK vs Ried?

By the PropickAI model, LASK is favoured — about 65% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for LASK vs Ried?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to LASK. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does LASK vs Ried start?

August 14, 2026.