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Austria. Cup. 1/32 Finals
Austria. Cup. 1/32 Finals
25.07.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction
25.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Austria. Cup. 1/32 Finals

Lustenau 07 - FC Kitzbuhel

Football
Lustenau 07
Lustenau 07
1 : 4
Finished
FC Kitzbuhel
FC Kitzbuhel
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 FC Kitzbuhel — 44%

Pure model vs market (2 · FC Kitzbuhel): model 72% · market 44% Δ +28 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Lustenau 0732.5%
X · draw23.1%
2 · FC Kitzbuhel44.4%

Model estimate: win Lustenau 07 32.5%, draw 23.1%, win FC Kitzbuhel 44.4%. Model favourite — FC Kitzbuhel.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FC Kitzbuhel (odds2.36) Score 0:2 confidence 66% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Kittsbyukhel: probability 66% vs 42% on the line (odds 2.36)
  • • edge over the line +23 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lustenau 07 - FC Kitzbuhel July 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Kitzbuhel.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Kitzbuhel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.00 / X 4.00 / 2 2.20
  • Glicko: Lustenau 07 32.5% / X 23.1% / FC Kitzbuhel 44.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 32.1%
X 24.1%
2 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lustenau 07 1 : 2 FC Kitzbuhel
12.87
X3.64
22.10

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
7 predictions Choose an outcome
1 25% 1
X 25% 1
2 50% 2
handicap1 handicap1:0 2.17 (1)
Total TB 3.5 2.10 (1)
corners_total_under corners_total_over:9_5 1.80 (1)
Match center
Start 25.07.2026 13:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community FC Kitzbuhel 50%
📐 Math model FC Kitzbuhel 44%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Lustenau 07 - FC Kitzbuhel

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 4 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:4
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 44.4% fact: away hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.468 / LogLoss 0.811
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 44.4% fact: away hit / ROI 120.0% / Brier 0.468 / LogLoss 0.811
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lustenau 07 33.9% 32.5%
Draw 23.5% 23.1% draw risk
FC Kitzbuhel 42.7% 44.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.5% / 23.1% / 44.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,449 / 1,930 Lustenau 07 / FC Kitzbuhel
RD 231 / 264 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 987-1,911 / 1,403-2,457 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.18 market consensus · no value · model 44.4%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.81 market consensus · no value · model 32.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.62 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.46 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.68 37.3%
yes 1.46 68.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.39 29.5%
X 2.49 40.2%
2.61 38.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet Leon
— 1.65 60.6%
1.09 91.7% —
— 2.15 46.5%
5.80 17.2% —
— 2.11 47.4%
— 1.62 61.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Lustenau 07LWWWWDWDLL
FC KitzbuhelWWWWWLWWLW
H2H 4-4-1, avg 2.0 gls
2026-07-25 · Paderborn 07 0:2 Magdeburg
2026-04-12 · Paderborn 07 4:3 Magdeburg
2025-11-09 · Paderborn 07 1:0 Magdeburg
2025-05-10 · Paderborn 07 2:1 Magdeburg
2024-12-14 · Paderborn 07 1:1 Magdeburg
Source: ruscore
Lustenau 07
W L D
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 Austria: West regionalnaya liga Standings
Lustenau 07 3:1 TSV Sankt-YokhannTSV Sankt-Yokhann
06.06 13:00 UTC+0 Austria: West regionalnaya liga Standings
Lustenau 07 1:4 KufshtaynKufshtayn
04.06 07:00 UTC+0 Austria: West regionalnaya liga Standings
Lustenau 07 2:2 KhoenemsKhoenems
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
FC Kitzbuhel
W W
13.06 13:00 UTC+0 Austria: West regionalnaya liga Standings
FC Kitzbuhel 4:1 SikirkhenSikirkhen
07.06 11:00 UTC+0 Austria: West regionalnaya liga Standings
FC Kitzbuhel 5:2 Altakh U21Altakh U21
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLustenau 07 - FC Kitzbuhel

Lustenau 07
0 matches total
FC Kitzbuhel
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history