Austria: Second League Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 St Polten — 39%
Pure model vs market (2 · St Polten): model 39% · market 28% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win FAC Wien 31.4%, draw 29.2%, win St Polten 39.4%. Model favourite — St Polten.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FAC Wien.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.14 87.7% |
| yes | 5.00 20.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.51 66.2% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 8.50 11.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.37 73.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 2.55 39.2% | |
| — | — | 9.50 10.5% | |
| — | — | 12.00 8.3% | |
| — | — | 12.00 8.3% | |
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | — | |
| — | — | 2.85 35.1% | |
| — | — | 11.00 9.1% | |
| — | — | 7.60 13.2% | |
| — | — | 1.45 69.0% | |
| — | — | 1.02 98.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| — | — | 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | 1.67 59.9% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.5 | — | — | 8.00 12.5% |
| Over 2 | — | — | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Over 3 | — | — | 5.00 20.0% |
| Over 3.5 | — | — | 12.00 8.3% |
| Over 4 | — | — | 3.65 27.4% |
| Over 4.5 | — | — | 12.00 8.3% |
| Over 5.5 | — | — | 7.50 13.3% |
| Under 0.5 | — | — | 7.30 13.7% |
| Under 1.5 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 2 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 3 | — | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.9 | 3.05 | 2.3 |
| Winline | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.37 |
| Fonbet | 2.85 | 3.05 | 2.3 |
| Betcity | 3 | 3.1 | 2.35 |
FAC Wien
St Polten
Full head-to-head historyFAC Wien - St Polten
The FAC Wien - St Polten breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
