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Austria: Second League Standings
Austria: Second League Standings
31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Austria: Second League Standings

FAC Wien - St Polten

Football
FAC Wien
FAC Wien
0 : 0
Finished
St Polten
St Polten
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 St Polten39%

Pure model vs market (2 · St Polten): model 39% · market 28% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market

1 · FAC Wien31.4%
X · draw29.2%
2 · St Polten39.4%

Model estimate: win FAC Wien 31.4%, draw 29.2%, win St Polten 39.4%. Model favourite — St Polten.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2St Polten (odds2.34) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Sankt-Pelten: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.34)
  • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FAC Wien - St Polten July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FAC Wien.

Line favourite Fonbet: FAC Wien. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 8.50 / 2 2.35
  • Glicko: FAC Wien 31.4% / X 29.2% / St Polten 39.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 51.4%
1 64.1%
X 7.8%
2 28.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FAC Wien 1 : 1 St Polten

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 64.1% @ 1.03 / X 7.8% @ 8.50 / 2 28.1% @ 2.35
Match center

FAC Wien - St Polten

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 39.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.756 / LogLoss 1.232
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 39.4% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.756 / LogLoss 1.232
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FAC Wien 31.0% 31.4%
Draw 29.6% 29.2% draw risk
St Polten 39.5% 39.4% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.4% / 29.2% / 39.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,519 / 1,626 FAC Wien / St Polten
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-2,102 / 1,044-2,209 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 39.4%
X 8.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 31.4%
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%
1X 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 60.6%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +483.0% · model 68.6%
Handicap
2 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Yes 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.14 87.7%
yes 5.00 20.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.29 77.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.37 73.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.55 39.2%
9.50 10.5%
12.00 8.3%
12.00 8.3%
2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2%
2.85 35.1%
11.00 9.1%
7.60 13.2%
1.45 69.0%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 10.00 10.0%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.5 8.00 12.5%
Over 2 9.00 11.1%
Over 2.5 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 10.50 9.5%
Over 3 5.00 20.0%
Over 3.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 4 3.65 27.4%
Over 4.5 12.00 8.3%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 0.5 7.30 13.7%
Under 1.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 2 1.03 97.1%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.01 99.0%
Under 3 1.13 88.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-1-2, avg 2.5 gls
2026-04-24 · Floridsdorfer 0:0 Sankt-Pelten
2025-11-01 · Floridsdorfer 2:0 Sankt-Pelten
2024-12-06 · Floridsdorfer 2:3 Sankt-Pelten
2024-08-04 · Floridsdorfer 2:0 Sankt-Pelten
2024-03-15 · Floridsdorfer 2:1 Sankt-Pelten
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3 (Betcity) · X 3.1 (Winline) · 2 2.37 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.9 3.05 2.3
Winline 2.9 3.1 2.37
Fonbet 2.85 3.05 2.3
Betcity 3 3.1 2.35
Source: ruscore · line comparison
FAC Wien
D L W D D
2026-07-24 OFB Cup 26/27
FAC Wien Horn 1:1 FAC Wien
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
FAC Wien Prostejov 2:1 FAC Wien
2026-07-10 Club Friendly Games 2026
FAC Wien SV Leobendorf 1:3 FAC Wien
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
FAC Wien FAC Wien 0:0 Horn
2026-07-07 Club Friendly Games 2026
FAC Wien Horn 0:0 FAC Wien
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
St Polten
W L D D W
2026-07-24 OFB Cup 26/27
Tillmitsch 1:2 St Polten St Polten
2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026
Slovan Liberec 3:1 St Polten St Polten
2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026
St Polten 0:0 Admira Wacker Modling St Polten
2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026
St Polten 1:1 Artis Brno St Polten
2026-06-26 Club Friendly Games 2026
Horn 1:3 St Polten St Polten
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFAC Wien - St Polten

FAC Wien
1 matches total
St Polten
FAC Wien: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
St Polten: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (2026-04-24) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2026-04-24 2. Liga 25/26
FAC Wien 0:0 St Polten