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Austria. League 1

31.07.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

31.07.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Austria. League 1

Kapfenberg - Liefering

Football

Kapfenberg

0 : 0

Finished

Liefering

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Liefering — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Liefering): model 22% · market 75% Δ −53 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Kapfenberg26.1%

X · draw23.3%

2 · Liefering50.6%

Model estimate: win Kapfenberg 26.1%, draw 23.3%, win Liefering 50.6%. Model favourite — Liefering.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Liefering (odds1.77) Score 1:2 confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Lifering: probability 51% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
• no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Kapfenberg - Liefering July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liefering.

Line favourite Fonbet: Liefering. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.90 / X 14.00 / 2 1.02
Glicko: Kapfenberg 26.1% / X 23.3% / Liefering 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.8%

1 19.6%

X 5.5%

2 74.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

2. Liga

Best price across 12 books

1 3.95 10Bet

X 4.13 Pinnacle

2 1.80 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Kapfenberg

W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 0.90 Conceded 1.70 xG 1.26 xGA 1.68 Corners 5.2

Liefering

W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.81 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.48 xGA 1.41 Corners 2.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Kapfenberg

Rating 1419 xG 0.92 Win 20%

Liefering

Rating 1557 xG 1.69 Win 55%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Kapfenberg 1 : 3 Liefering

13.85

X3.92

21.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions

22 predictions Choose an outcome

1 0% 0

X 0% 0

2 100% 4

Double chance 1X 1.98 (2)

total_t2_under total_t2_over:1_5 1.62 (3) - total_t2_over:2 2.16 (1)

Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.51 (3)

Total TB 1.5 1.13 (2)

Match center

Start 31.07.2026 14:30 UTC

Market 1 19.6% @ 3.90 / X 5.5% @ 14.00 / 2 74.9% @ 1.02

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Liefering 100%

📐 Math model Liefering 51%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Kapfenberg - Liefering

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Line 1 source Stavka.tv

Player opinions Stavka.tv 4 combined layer without duplicates

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Kapfenberg 24.1% 26.1%

Draw 23.5% 23.3% draw risk

Liefering 52.4% 50.6% market and model agree

xG - 0.92 : 1.69

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 26.1% / 23.3% / 50.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,753 / 1,500 Kapfenberg / Liefering

RD 291 / 350 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,171-2,335 / 800-2,200 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 50.6%

X 3.99 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.86 market consensus · no value · model 26.1%

Double chance

12 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 76.7%

1X 1.96 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%

X2 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.35 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.43 69.9%	2.33 42.9%
yes	2.60 38.5%	1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.19 84.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.01 99.0%
1x	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	11.00 9.1%
x2	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	4.23 23.6%
X	2.48 40.3%
	2.27 44.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1.5	2.26 44.3%
Under 1.5	1.57 63.7%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-5, avg 3.75 gls

2026-05-02 · Kapfenberg 1:4 Lifering

2025-11-07 · Kapfenberg 2:5 Lifering

2025-04-11 · Kapfenberg 0:2 Lifering

2024-09-27 · Kapfenberg 0:2 Lifering

2024-05-20 · Kapfenberg 1:3 Lifering

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 4.4 (Betcity) · X 4.4 (Betcity) · 2 1.7 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	3.75	3.95	1.7
Winline	4.2	4.2	1.63
Fonbet	3.75	3.95	1.7
Betcity	4.4	4.4	1.6
Liga Stavok	4.2	4.2	1.64

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Kapfenberg

W L L L W

2026-07-25 OFB Cup 26/27

Kapfenberg SK Treibach 1:4 Kapfenberg

2026-07-17 Club Friendly Games 2026

Kapfenberg Wolfsberger AC 6:1 Kapfenberg

2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026

Kapfenberg GAK 1:0 Kapfenberg

2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026

Kapfenberg GAK 2 1:0 Kapfenberg

2026-07-03 Club Friendly Games 2026

Kapfenberg Deutschlandsberger 2:7 Kapfenberg

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

2.4 Scored

2.2 Conceded

6 Points

Liefering

L W W W W

2026-07-23 Club Friendly Games 2026

Waldhof Mannheim 4:1 Liefering Liefering

2026-07-18 Club Friendly Games 2026

Liefering 2:0 Wehen Wiesbaden Liefering

2026-07-11 Club Friendly Games 2026

Liefering 3:1 Jablonec Liefering

2026-07-04 Club Friendly Games 2026

Liefering 4:0 Union Hallein Liefering

2026-05-14 2. Liga 25/26

Austria Klagenfurt 2:3 Liefering Liefering

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyKapfenberg - Liefering

Kapfenberg

0 matches total

Liefering

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Kapfenberg - Liefering

AI match prediction Kapfenberg - Liefering July 31, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Kapfenberg - Liefering

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match history