PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings

Malaysia - Laos

Football
Malaysia
Malaysia
4 : 0
Finished
L
Laos
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Malaysia — 85%

Pure model vs market (1 · Malaysia): model 61% · market 83% Δ −22 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Malaysia ✓ Pick84.6%
market83%
X · draw11.7%
market10%
2 · Laos3.8%
market7%

Model estimate: win Malaysia 84.6%, draw 11.7%, win Laos 3.8%. Model favourite — Malaysia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Malaysia - Laos July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Malaysia.

Line favourite Fonbet: Malaysia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 8.50 / 2 12.50
  • Glicko: Malaysia 84.6% / X 11.7% / Laos 3.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 18.8%
1 ✓ Pick 83.4%
X 9.9%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.07 ↓ 1.06
1X2 X 7.00 ↑ 7.60
1X2 2 27.00 ↑ 31.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Malaysia 5 : 0 Laos
11.02
X10.50
243.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Participant opinions
31 predictions Choose an outcome
1 100% 3
X 0% 0
2 0% 0
Total TB 3.5 1.48 (6) - TM 3.5 2.44 (1) - TB 4 1.67 (1)
total_t1_under total_t1_over:3_5 1.67 (4) - total_t1_over:3 (2)
handicap1 handicap1:-3 1.56 (3) - handicap1:-3_5 1.92 (1) - handicap1:-2_5 1.39 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 2.56 (1) - BTTS no 1.41 (1)
Match center
Start 28.07.2026 11:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Malaysia 100%
📐 Math model Malaysia 85%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Malaysia - Laos

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 84.6% fact: home hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.039 / LogLoss 0.168
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 84.6% fact: home hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.039 / LogLoss 0.168
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 84.6% fact: home hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.039 / LogLoss 0.168
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 84.6% fact: home hit / ROI 9.0% / Brier 0.039 / LogLoss 0.168
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Malaysia 86.1% 84.6% market and model agree
Draw 11.2% 11.7% draw risk
Laos 2.8% 3.8%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 84.6% / 11.7% / 3.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,606 / 1,253 Malaysia / Laos
RD 272 / 277 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,062-2,151 / 698-1,808 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 8.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 84.6%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 88.3%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 96.2%
X2 10.00 Fonbet · no value · model 15.4%
Handicap
2 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.58 63.3% 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2%
1x — — 1.02 98.0%
x2 5.90 17.0% 8.40 11.9% 10.00 10.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.22 82.0%
X 4.28 23.4%
17.10 5.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Malaysia
W
25.07 08:00 UTC Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Malaysia 2:1 MyanmaMyanma
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Laos
L
25.07 11:00 UTC Asia: ASEAN Championship Standings
Laos 0:5 ThailandThailand
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMalaysia - Laos

Malaysia
0 matches total
Laos
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history