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Belarus. Premier League
Belarus. Premier League
29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Belarus. Premier League

Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk

Football
Dnepr Mogilev
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 1
Finished
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dnepr Mogilev62%

1 · Dnepr Mogilev ✓ Pick62.2%
X · draw18.0%
2 · Belschina 2 Bobruisk19.8%

Model estimate: win Dnepr Mogilev 62.2%, draw 18.0%, win Belschina 2 Bobruisk 19.8%. Model favourite — Dnepr Mogilev.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk July 29, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

  • Glicko: Dnepr Mogilev 62.2% / X 18.0% / Belschina 2 Bobruisk 19.8%

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.48 ↓ 1.05
1X2 X 4.10 ↑ 6.30
1X2 2 5.20 ↑ 100.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.2% fact: home hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.215 / LogLoss 0.475
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 62.2% fact: home hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.215 / LogLoss 0.475
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dnepr Mogilev 85.0% 62.2% market and model agree
Draw 14.2% 18.0% draw risk
Belschina 2 Bobruisk 0.9% 19.8%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.2% / 18.0% / 19.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,470 / 1,236 Dnepr Mogilev / Belschina 2 Bobruisk
RD 175 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,119-1,821 / 636-1,835 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 62.2%
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 82.0%
1X 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 80.2%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · no value · model 37.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.08 92.6%
x2 8.50 11.8%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.05 95.2%
1.10 90.9%
5.20 19.2%
1.45 69.0%
8.50 11.8%
5.80 17.2%
1.12 89.3%
2.55 39.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.12 89.3%
Over 2.5 2.18 45.9%
Over 3.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 4.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 5.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 5.40 18.5%
Under 2.5 1.61 62.1%
Under 3.5 1.07 93.5%
Under 4.5 1.04 96.2%
Under 5.5 1.04 96.2%
Match center
Dnepr Mogilev
L L L D
10.07 13:30 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Dnepr Mogilev 1:2 MinskMinsk
04.07 11:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Dnepr Mogilev 0:1 VitebskVitebsk
14.06 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Dnepr Mogilev 0:1 Arsenal DzerzhinskArsenal Dzerzhinsk
31.05 13:00 UTC Belarus: Premier League Standings
Dnepr Mogilev 1:1 BATEBATE
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.3 Conceded
1 Points
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
D L L
19.07 11:30 UTC+0 Belarus: Cup Belarus
Belschina 2 Bobruisk 2:2 OrshaOrsha
03.07 11:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Premier League Standings
Belschina 2 Bobruisk 2:4 Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest
12.06 12:00 UTC+0 Belarus: Premier League Standings
Belschina 2 Bobruisk 1:3 IslochIsloch
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points