Belarus. Premier League
Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Dnepr Mogilev — 62%
Model estimate: win Dnepr Mogilev 62.2%, draw 18.0%, win Belschina 2 Bobruisk 19.8%. Model favourite — Dnepr Mogilev.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk July 29, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Dnepr Mogilev 62.2% / X 18.0% / Belschina 2 Bobruisk 19.8%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 8.50 11.8% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.10 90.9% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 8.50 11.8% | |
| 5.80 17.2% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 2.55 39.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 7.00 14.3% |
| Over 4.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 5.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 5.40 18.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.61 62.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.04 96.2% |
Dnepr Mogilev
Minsk
Vitebsk
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
BATE
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Orsha
Dinamo Brest
Isloch
Full head-to-head historyDnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Match history
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The Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
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- Match history & form