Match center
Start
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
30.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Belarus. Premier League
Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
3
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Dnepr Mogilev — 57%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dnepr Mogilev): model 56% · market 56% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Dnepr Mogilev 57.0%, draw 24.1%, win Belschina 2 Bobruisk 18.9%. Model favourite — Dnepr Mogilev.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Dnepr Mogilev (odds1.63)
Score 2:0
confidence 62%
✓ outcome correct
- • liniya na pik P1 1.48→1.05 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Dnepr Mogilev: probability 62% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk July 30, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Dnepr Mogilev.
Strongest: Dnepr Mogilev - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.73 / 2 4.87
- 1X2 market: Dnepr Mogilev 56.1% / X 24.8% / Belschina 2 Bobruisk 19.1%
- Glicko: Dnepr Mogilev 57.0% / X 24.1% / Belschina 2 Bobruisk 18.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1 ✓ Pick
56.1%
X
24.8%
2
19.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
1.48
↓ 1.05
1X2 X
4.10
↑ 6.30
1X2 2
5.20
↑ 100.00
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Dnepr Mogilev 57%
💹 Market
Dnepr Mogilev 5611%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
3:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 62.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.215 / LogLoss 0.475
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 62.2% fact: home
hit / ROI 5.0% / Brier 0.215 / LogLoss 0.475
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Dnepr Mogilev
57.0%
57.0%
market and model agree
Draw
24.3%
24.1%
draw risk
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
18.6%
18.9%
1X2: 6 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
57.0% / 24.1% / 18.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,470 / 1,236
Dnepr Mogilev / Belschina 2 Bobruisk
RD
175 / 300
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,119-1,821 / 636-1,835
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.90
market consensus · no value · model 18.9%
X
3.76
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.65
market consensus · no value · model 57.0%
Double chance
12
1.23
market consensus · no value · model 75.9%
1X
1.15
market consensus · no value · model 81.1%
X2
2.16
market consensus · no value · model 43.0%
Handicap
2 +1
1.67
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.12
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.85
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.85
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 1xBet | Dafabet | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 3.84 26.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.84 26.0% | 3.65 27.4% |
| 5.07 19.7% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.15 19.4% | 4.65 21.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% |
| 1x | 1.15 87.0% |
| x2 | 2.16 46.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 1xBet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.10 11.0% |
| 0_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_2 | 24.00 4.2% |
| 0_3 | 55.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 90.00 1.1% |
| 0_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_6 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_7 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_8 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 0_9 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 6.40 15.6% |
| 1_1 | 6.60 15.2% |
| 1_10 | 100.00 1.0% |
| 1_2 | 14.50 6.9% |
| 1_3 | 39.00 2.6% |
| 1_4 | 70.00 1.4% |
| 1_5 | 100.00 1.0% |
Match center
Dnepr Mogilev
L
L
L
D
Dnepr Mogilev
1:2
Minsk
Minsk
Dnepr Mogilev
0:1
Vitebsk
Vitebsk
Dnepr Mogilev
0:1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Dnepr Mogilev
1:1
BATE
BATE
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.5
Scored
1.3
Conceded
1
Points
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
D
L
L
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
2:2
Orsha
Orsha
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
2:4
Dinamo Brest
Dinamo Brest
Belschina 2 Bobruisk
1:3
Isloch
Isloch
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.7
Scored
3.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyDnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk
Dnepr Mogilev
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Dnepr Mogilev - Belschina 2 Bobruisk breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form