Participant opinions
4 predictions
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AI verdict
AI pick Dender
win probability ~38%
confidence Low
best odds 2.44
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Dender. Full breakdown below.
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✓ Prematch ready
Prematch data
✓Line
✓Form
✓H2H
✓Prediction
14.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished
Belgium: Challenger Pro Liga Standings
Hasselt - Dender
Referee
M. Ledda
1
:
0
Finished
D
Dender
Hasselt meet Dender on August 14, 2026 in the Belgium: Challenger Pro Liga Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Hasselt 3-1-1, Dender 0-1-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 37% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Dender — 38%
Model estimate: win Hasselt 36.6%, draw 25.6%, win Dender 37.9%. Model favourite — Dender.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Hasselt (odds2.49)
Score 2:1
confidence 56%
✓ outcome correct
- • Model backs Khasselt: probability 56% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.49)
- • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Hasselt - Dender August 14, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hasselt.
Line favourite Fonbet: Hasselt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / X 6.40 / 2 2.44
- Glicko: Hasselt 36.6% / X 25.6% / Dender 37.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.0%
5 books · best price +1.7%
1
35.5%
X
25.8%
2
38.7%
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Challenger Pro League
Best price
across 14 books
1
2.62
Pinnacle
X
3.76
Pinnacle
2
2.67
Betano
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Hasselt
35%
2.63
Draw
26%
6.40
Dender
39%
90.00
Handicap
Hasselt (0)
48%
1.96
Dender (0)
52%
12.00
Total
Over 10.5
46%
2.00
Under 10.5
54%
1.68
Both teams to score
Yes
50%
4.60
No
50%
2.55
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Hasselt
4
:
0
Dender
12.51
X3.48
22.36
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Referee
M. Ledda
Start
14.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market
1 62.5% @ 1.06 / X 10.4% @ 6.40 / 2 27.2% @ 2.44
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community
Dender 50%
📐 Math model
Dender 38%
💹 Market
Dender 39%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center
Hasselt - Dender
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Lineups
2/1
probable starting lineup
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Hasselt
35.5%
36.6%
Draw
25.8%
25.6%
draw risk
Dender
38.7%
37.9%
market and model agree
1X2: 5 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
36.6% / 25.6% / 37.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,500 / 1,301
Hasselt / Dender
RD
350 / 291
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
800-2,200 / 718-1,884
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.39
market consensus · no value · model 37.9%
X
6.40
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.06
Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
Double chance
12
1.07
Fonbet · no value · model 74.4%
1X
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 62.1%
X2
5.80
Fonbet · weak value +267.9% · model 63.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.52
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.51
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.30
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
10.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.02
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Yes
4.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.14 87.7% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.43 41.2% |
| yes | 4.60 21.7% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 1.49 67.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.37 73.0% |
| x2 | 1.43 69.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 5.80 17.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.10 32.3% | |
| X | 2.31 43.3% |
| 2.89 34.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
Match center
Hasselt
No home-team absences found in the prematch data.
Dender
No away-team absences found in the prematch data.
SStats
Market - Form - H2H - Bookmakers
Match center
Hasselt
Team form
Dender
10
Matches
10
25
Goals
8
2.5
Per match
0.8
6
Wins
1
2
Draws
1
2
Losses
8
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 3 (Winline) · X 3.6 (Betcity) · 2 2.45 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.4 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Winline | 3 | 3.55 | 2.11 |
| Fonbet | 2.4 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
| Betcity | 2.85 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Liga Stavok | 3 | 3.55 | 2.12 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hasselt
L
L
W
W
W
Hasselt
Hasselt 0:2 Royal Antwerp
Hasselt
Mechelen 2:1 Hasselt
Hasselt
Hasselt 1:0 Dessel
Hasselt
Houtvenne 0:1 Hasselt
Hasselt
Hasselt 2:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Dender
D
L
L
W
L
Dender 0:0 Lommel United
Dender
Lommel United 3:2 Dender
Dender
Zulte Waregem 2:1 Dender
Dender
Dender 2:1 La Louviere
Dender
Cercle Brugge 2:1 Dender
Dender
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyHasselt - Dender
Hasselt
2
matches total
Hasselt: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Dender: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Hasselt 2:0 (18.02.17, 13:00)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
2 goals (2:0, 18.02.17, 13:00)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Hasselt
2:0
Dender
Hasselt
1:0
Dender
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Hasselt
Team 2
Dender
Matches in history
2
Highest-scoring match
2:0
Division
1 / 2 / 1 / 0 / 1 / 2
Unlock the full match prediction
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hasselt vs Dender?
By the PropickAI model, Hasselt is favoured — about 38% win probability.
What does PropickAI predict for Hasselt vs Dender?
The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Hasselt. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.
When does Hasselt vs Dender start?
August 14, 2026.