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Bulgaria: Second League Standings
Bulgaria: Second League Standings
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Bulgaria: Second League Standings

Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA 2 Sofia

Football
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 0
Finished
C
CSKA 2 Sofia

Pirin Blagoevgrad face CSKA 2 Sofia on August 2, 2026 in the Bulgaria: Second League Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0-1, CSKA 2 Sofia 0-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 35% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 CSKA 2 Sofia — 35%

Pure model vs market (2 · CSKA 2 Sofia): model 45% · market 35% Δ +10 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Pirin Blagoevgrad34.8%
X · draw29.7%
2 · CSKA 2 Sofia35.5%

Model estimate: win Pirin Blagoevgrad 34.8%, draw 29.7%, win CSKA 2 Sofia 35.5%. Model favourite — CSKA 2 Sofia.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2CSKA 2 Sofia (odds2.60) Score 0:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs TsSKA Sofiya II: probability 50% vs 38% on the line (odds 2.60)
  • • edge over the line +12 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA 2 Sofia August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSKA 2 Sofia.

Line favourite Fonbet: CSKA 2 Sofia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.72 / X 7.30 / 2 1.06
  • Glicko: Pirin Blagoevgrad 34.8% / X 29.7% / CSKA 2 Sofia 35.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3% 3 books · best price +4.6%
1 34.9%
X 30.2%
2 34.9%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 25.4% @ 2.72 / X 9.5% @ 7.30 / 2 65.2% @ 1.06
Match center

Pirin Blagoevgrad - CSKA 2 Sofia

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 35.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.740 / LogLoss 1.213
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 35.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.740 / LogLoss 1.213
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Pirin Blagoevgrad 34.9% 34.8% market favourite
Draw 30.2% 29.7% draw risk
CSKA 2 Sofia 34.9% 35.5% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 34.8% / 29.7% / 35.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,292 / 1,519 Pirin Blagoevgrad / CSKA 2 Sofia
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 710-1,874 / 937-2,101 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.06 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 35.5%
X 7.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.64 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.8%
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 70.3%
1X 5.90 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 64.5%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.2%
Handicap
2 0 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 0 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.27 78.7% 1.34 74.6% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 5.90 17.0%
x2 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.46 28.9%
X 1.96 51.0%
3.22 31.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.00 50.0%
Under 1 1.72 58.1%
Match center
Pirin Blagoevgrad
L
28.07 13:30 UTC Bulgaria: Second League Standings
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1:5 DobrudzhaDobrudzha
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
5.0 Conceded
0 Points
CSKA 2 Sofia
D
28.07 13:30 UTC Bulgaria: Second League Standings
CSKA 2 Sofia 1:1 Viren
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points