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Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings

CSE Alagoano U20 - Rio Largo U20

Football
C
CSE Alagoano U20
2 : 1
Finished
R
Rio Largo U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 CSE Alagoano U20 — 52%

1 · CSE Alagoano U2052.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Rio Largo U2028.5%

Model estimate: win CSE Alagoano U20 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Rio Largo U20 28.5%. Model favourite — CSE Alagoano U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction CSE Alagoano U20 - Rio Largo U20 July 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like CSE Alagoano U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: CSE Alagoano U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 3.75 / 2 4.90
  • Glicko: CSE Alagoano U20 52.1% / X 19.4% / Rio Largo U20 28.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 43.2%
1 67.1%
X 18.6%
2 14.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.55 ↓ 1.18
1X2 X 3.75 → 3.75
1X2 2 4.90 → 4.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

CSE Alagoano U20 1 : 3 Rio Largo U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

CSE Alagoano U20 - Rio Largo U20

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.1% fact: home hit / ROI 18.0% / Brier 0.348 / LogLoss 0.651
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.1% fact: home hit / ROI 18.0% / Brier 0.348 / LogLoss 0.651
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
CSE Alagoano U20 64.3% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 20.2% 19.4% draw risk
Rio Largo U20 15.5% 28.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 CSE Alagoano U20 / Rio Largo U20
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · no value · model 28.5%
X 3.75 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 52.1%
Double chance
12 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 80.6%
1X 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 71.5%
X2 9.00 Fonbet · weak value +330.9% · model 47.9%
Total
Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3%
1x 1.14 87.7%
x2 9.00 11.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
5.40 18.5%
2.50 40.0%
1.12 89.3%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 3.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Under 3.5 1.08 92.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.04 96.2%
X 3.75 26.7%
4.90 20.4%
Match center
CSE Alagoano U20
W
27.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
CSE Alagoano U20 3:0 Miguelense U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Rio Largo U20
L
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
Rio Largo U20 0:1 Desportiva Alianka U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points