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Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Alagoano U20 Standings

Miguelense U20 - Sosedad Esportiva U20

Football
M
Miguelense U20
0 : 3
Finished
S
Sosedad Esportiva U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Miguelense U20 — 52%

1 · Miguelense U2052.1%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Sosedad Esportiva U2028.5%

Model estimate: win Miguelense U20 52.1%, draw 19.4%, win Sosedad Esportiva U20 28.5%. Model favourite — Miguelense U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Miguelense U20 - Sosedad Esportiva U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Miguelense U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Miguelense U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.14 / X 6.00 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Miguelense U20 52.1% / X 19.4% / Sosedad Esportiva U20 28.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.8%
1 78.9%
X 15.0%
2 6.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
Best price across 7 books
1 1.12 Bet365
X 10.50 Betfair
2 20.00 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Miguelense U20
W-D-L 9-1-0 Scored 3.69 Conceded 0.20
Sosedad Esportiva U20
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 2.51

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Miguelense U20 5 : 1 Sosedad Esportiva U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Miguelense U20 - Sosedad Esportiva U20

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line
More needed
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 52.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.821 / LogLoss 1.256
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, table home - 52.1% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.821 / LogLoss 1.256
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Miguelense U20 79.0% 52.1% market and model agree
Draw 15.0% 19.4% draw risk
Sosedad Esportiva U20 6.0% 28.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.1% / 19.4% / 28.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Miguelense U20 / Sosedad Esportiva U20
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 52.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Bet365
Over 2.5 1.33 75.0%
Under 2.5 3.25 30.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365
1.14 87.5%
X 6.00 16.7%
15.00 6.7%