Match center
Start
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Bolivia. Primera division
Santa Maria U20 - Blooming Santa Cruz U19
6
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Santa Maria U20 — 68%
Model estimate: win Santa Maria U20 68.3%, draw 15.9%, win Blooming Santa Cruz U19 15.9%. Model favourite — Santa Maria U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santa Maria U20 - Blooming Santa Cruz U19 July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Blooming Santa Cruz U19.
Line favourite market consensus: Blooming Santa Cruz U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.00 / X 3.60 / 2 1.70
- Glicko: Santa Maria U20 68.3% / X 15.9% / Blooming Santa Cruz U19 15.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.6%
1 ✓ Pick
22.4%
X
24.9%
2
52.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Paulista - U20League table
Santa Maria U20
W
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
L
Best price
across 7 books
1
1.25
Bet365
X
5.60
Marathonbet
2
10.30
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Santa Maria U20
W-D-L 7-2-1
Scored 1.89
Conceded 0.43
xG 1.50
xGA 1.26
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
W-D-L 4-0-6
Scored 1.50
Conceded 2.28
xG 1.11
xGA 2.10
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Santa Maria U20
Rating 1845
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
Rating 1496
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Santa Maria U20
2
:
2
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Santa Maria U20 - Blooming Santa Cruz U19
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
6:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 68.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 300.0% / Brier 0.151 / LogLoss 0.382
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 68.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 300.0% / Brier 0.151 / LogLoss 0.382
Glicko-2: public filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 68.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 300.0% / Brier 0.151 / LogLoss 0.382
Glicko-2: precision filter
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 68.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 300.0% / Brier 0.151 / LogLoss 0.382
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Santa Maria U20
22.4%
68.3%
Glicko contrarian
Draw
24.9%
15.9%
draw risk
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
52.7%
15.9%
market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
68.3% / 15.9% / 15.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,747 / 1,353
Santa Maria U20 / Blooming Santa Cruz U19
RD
278 / 293
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,191-2,302 / 767-1,939
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.70
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 15.9%
X
3.60
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.00
market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.3%
Total
Over 2.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.95
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 13.00 7.7% | |
| 3.00 33.3% | |
| 4.80 20.8% | |
| 14.00 7.1% | |
| 1.55 64.5% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Bet365 | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 4.5 | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 5.5 | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 6.5 | — | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 7.5 | — | 2.95 33.9% |
| Over 8.5 | — | 5.80 17.2% |
| Over 9.5 | — | 13.00 7.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — |
| Under 4.5 | — | 4.15 24.1% |
| Under 5.5 | — | 3.35 29.9% |
| Under 6.5 | — | 5.20 19.2% |
| Under 7.5 | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| Under 8.5 | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Under 9.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 8.00 12.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 5.5 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 7.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 8.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 6.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 7.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 8.5 | 1.43 69.9% |
Match center
Santa Maria U20
D
W
Santa Maria U20
2:2
Kruzeyro DF U20
Santa Maria U20
4:0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
4
Points
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
W
L
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
5:0
Real Brazilia U20
Real Brazilia U20
Blooming Santa Cruz U19
0:5
Seylyandiya U20
Seylyandiya U20
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySanta Maria U20 - Blooming Santa Cruz U19
Santa Maria U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Santa Maria U20 - Blooming Santa Cruz U19 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form