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Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bolivia. Primera division

Seylandense U20 - Real Brasilia U20

Football
Seylandense U20
Seylandense U20
0 : 8
Finished
Real Brasilia U20
Real Brasilia U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Real Brasilia U2078%

Pure model vs market (2 · Real Brasilia U20): model 36% · market 69% Δ −33 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Seylandense U208.3%
market25%
X · draw13.5%
market6%
2 · Real Brasilia U20 ✓ Pick78.2%
market69%

Model estimate: win Seylandense U20 8.3%, draw 13.5%, win Real Brasilia U20 78.2%. Model favourite — Real Brasilia U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seylandense U20 - Real Brasilia U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Brasilia U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Brasilia U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.75 / X 12.50 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Seylandense U20 8.3% / X 13.5% / Real Brasilia U20 78.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 43.4%
1 25.4%
X 5.6%
2 ✓ Pick 69.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 15.00 ↑ 26.00
1X2 X 6.00 ↑ 12.50
1X2 2 1.14 ↓ 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

CONCACAF U20
Best price across 6 books
1 8.00 Betfair
X 5.00 Betfair
2 1.43 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Seylandense U20
W-D-L 2-0-7 Scored 0.49 Conceded 2.72 xG 0.55 xGA 4.17
Real Brasilia U20
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.15 Conceded 1.35 xG 0.82 xGA 2.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Seylandense U20 0 : 6 Real Brasilia U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Seylandense U20 - Real Brasilia U20

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:8
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 78.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.073 / LogLoss 0.246
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 78.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.073 / LogLoss 0.246
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 78.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.073 / LogLoss 0.246
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 78.2% fact: away hit / Brier 0.073 / LogLoss 0.246
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Seylandense U20 6.2% 8.3%
Draw 12.9% 13.5% draw risk
Real Brasilia U20 80.9% 78.2% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 8.3% / 13.5% / 78.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,562 Seylandense U20 / Real Brasilia U20
RD 350 / 253 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,056-2,067 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 78.2%
X 4.00 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 8.3%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 86.5%
1X 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 21.8%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 91.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.15 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 9.50 10.5%
x2 1.01 99.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
4.70 21.3%
9.50 10.5%
1.25 80.0%
1.01 99.0%
10.00 10.0%
1.15 87.0%
1.03 97.1%
3.60 27.8%
14.00 7.1%
1.03 97.1%

Total

Outcome Bet365 Fonbet
Over 1.5 1.09 91.7%
Over 2.5 1.36 73.4% 1.30 76.9%
Over 3.5 4.50 22.2%
Over 4.5 7.50 13.3%
Over 5.5 6.60 15.2%
Under 1.5 6.20 16.1%
Under 2.5 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8%
Under 3.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 3.5 3.25 30.8%
Under 2.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Seylandense U20
D
19.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Seylandense U20 1:1 Seylyandiya U20Seylyandiya U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Real Brasilia U20
L W
19.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Real Brasilia U20 0:5 Luzianiya U20Luzianiya U20
04.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Real Brasilia U20 4:0 Paranoa U20Paranoa U20
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points