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Bolivia. Primera division
Bolivia. Primera division
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bolivia. Primera division

Zumbi Alagoano U20 - Coruripe U20

Football
Zumbi Alagoano U20
Zumbi Alagoano U20
0 : 0
Finished
C
Coruripe U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zumbi Alagoano U20 — 58%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zumbi Alagoano U20): model 31% · market 75% Δ −44 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zumbi Alagoano U2058.3%
market75%
X · draw22.0%
market16%
2 · Coruripe U2019.8%
market10%

Model estimate: win Zumbi Alagoano U20 58.3%, draw 22.0%, win Coruripe U20 19.8%. Model favourite — Zumbi Alagoano U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zumbi Alagoano U20 - Coruripe U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zumbi Alagoano U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zumbi Alagoano U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.02 / X 4.90 / 2 7.80
  • Glicko: Zumbi Alagoano U20 58.3% / X 22.0% / Coruripe U20 19.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 31.3%
1 74.7%
X 15.5%
2 9.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 1.35 ↓ 1.02
1X2 X 4.40 ↑ 4.90
1X2 2 7.30 ↑ 7.80

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Zumbi Alagoano U20 6 : 1 Coruripe U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Zumbi Alagoano U20 - Coruripe U20

Form 2/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.988 / LogLoss 1.516
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.988 / LogLoss 1.516
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zumbi Alagoano U20 60.0% 58.3% market and model agree
Draw 22.0% 22.0% draw risk
Coruripe U20 18.0% 19.8%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 58.3% / 22.0% / 19.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,115 / 1,386 Zumbi Alagoano U20 / Coruripe U20
RD 251 / 214 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 614-1,617 / 959-1,813 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.80 Fonbet · no value · model 19.8%
X 4.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 58.3%
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · no value · model 78.0%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 80.2%
Handicap
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 14.00 7.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.13 47.0%
6.00 16.7%
1.52 65.8%
1.64 61.0%
1.09 91.7%
2.35 42.6%

Total

Outcome Bet365 Fonbet
Over 2.5 1.73 57.9% 5.70 17.5%
Over 3.5 — 2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5 — 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.5 2.08 48.2% 1.10 90.9%
Under 3.5 — 1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5 — 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Fonbet
1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 25.00 4.0% 4.90 20.4%
5.00 20.0% 4.33 23.1% 60.00 1.7% 7.80 12.8%
Match center
Zumbi Alagoano U20
L L
04.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Zumbi Alagoano U20 0:4 Real Brazilia U20Real Brazilia U20
14.06 16:30 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Zumbi Alagoano U20 1:3 Gremio Valparaiso U20Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.5 Scored
3.5 Conceded
0 Points
Coruripe U20
D L D L
18.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Coruripe U20 2:2 Santa-Mariya U20Santa-Mariya U20
11.07 11:00 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Coruripe U20 2:3 Gremio Valparaiso U20Gremio Valparaiso U20
14.06 16:30 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Coruripe U20 2:2 Brazilia U20
06.06 16:30 UTC Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Coruripe U20 1:5 Planaltina U20Planaltina U20
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
3.0 Conceded
2 Points