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Brazil. Women. Series A1
Brazil. Women. Series A1
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Women. Series A1

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w)

Football
C
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
4 : 0
Finished
Botafogo RJ (w)
Botafogo RJ (w)

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) face Botafogo RJ (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Women. Series A1.

Recent form (W-D-L): Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 2-1-2, Botafogo RJ (w) 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 75% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)75%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)): model 54% · market 84% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) ✓ Pick74.9%
market84%
X · draw15.1%
market9%
2 · Botafogo RJ (w)10.0%
market7%

Model estimate: win Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 74.9%, draw 15.1%, win Botafogo RJ (w) 10.0%. Model favourite — Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) (odds1.21) Score 2:0 confidence 61% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Kruzeyro (Zh): probability 61% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.21)
  • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w) August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 10.00 / 2 13.00
  • Glicko: Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 74.9% / X 15.1% / Botafogo RJ (w) 10.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 13.8%
1 ✓ Pick 84.5%
X 8.8%
2 6.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasileiro Women
League table
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
#821 ptsGP 135-6-224:16
Botafogo RJ (w)
#185 ptsGP 131-2-108:26
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.66 xGA 1.05
Botafogo RJ (w)
W-D-L 0-1-9 Scored 0.40 Conceded 2.20

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
Rating 1627
Botafogo RJ (w)
Rating 1262

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 4 : 0 Botafogo RJ (w)
11.19
X6.25
29.90

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 84.5% @ 1.04 / X 8.8% @ 10.00 / 2 6.8% @ 13.00
Match center

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 4:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 76.3% 74.9% market and model agree
Draw 14.7% 15.1% draw risk
Botafogo RJ (w) 9.1% 10.0%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 74.9% / 15.1% / 10.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,213 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) / Botafogo RJ (w)
RD 291 / 236 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 742-1,685 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 10.00 market consensus · no value · model 10.0%
X 10.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 74.9%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 84.9%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 90.0%
X2 7.10 Fonbet · no value · model 25.1%
Handicap
2 0 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.01 99.0%
x2 3.70 27.0% 4.30 23.3% 7.10 14.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.60 62.5%
X 2.78 36.0%
8.00 12.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.15 46.5%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
L L W D W
2026-07-25 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 1:2 Sao Paulo (w)
2026-07-21 Soccer.Brazil.Copa do Brasil, Women 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) Fluminense RJ (w) 2:1 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
2026-05-28 Soccer.Brazil.Copa do Brasil, Women 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 5:0 Atlanta Doce Mel (w)
2026-05-24 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) Vitoria Baia (w) 2:2 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)
2026-05-19 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 3:2 Corinthians SP (w)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Botafogo RJ (w)
L L L W L
2026-07-27 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Bahia (w) 2:1 Botafogo RJ (w) Botafogo RJ (w)
2026-07-22 Soccer.Brazil.Copa do Brasil, Women 2026
Botafogo RJ (w) 0:2 Red Bull Bragantino (w) Botafogo RJ (w)
2026-07-17 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Vitoria Baia (w) 2:0 Botafogo RJ (w) Botafogo RJ (w)
2026-05-27 Soccer.Brazil.Copa do Brasil, Women 2026
Botafogo RJ (w) 3:0 Juventude RS (w) Botafogo RJ (w)
2026-05-24 Brasileiro A1, Women 2026
Botafogo RJ (w) 0:3 America Minas Gerais (w) Botafogo RJ (w)
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points