Brazil. Women. Series A1
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w)
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) face Botafogo RJ (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Women. Series A1.
Recent form (W-D-L): Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 2-1-2, Botafogo RJ (w) 1-0-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 75% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) — 75%
Pure model vs market (1 · Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w)): model 54% · market 84% Δ −30 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 74.9%, draw 15.1%, win Botafogo RJ (w) 10.0%. Model favourite — Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kruzeyro (Zh): probability 61% vs 82% on the line (odds 1.21)
- • no edge over the line (-22 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w) August 1, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w).
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 10.00 / 2 13.00
- Glicko: Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) 74.9% / X 15.1% / Botafogo RJ (w) 10.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Brasileiro WomenAverages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.08 48.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 3.70 27.0% | 4.30 23.3% | 7.10 14.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 8.00 12.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.56 64.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.28 43.9% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
Botafogo RJ (w)
Full head-to-head historyCruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w)
Match history
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The Cruzeiro Minas Gerais (w) - Botafogo RJ (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form