Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings
Ferroviaria SP (w) meet Bahia (w) on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil: Brazileyro - Women Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ferroviaria SP (w) 3-1-1, Bahia (w) 4-1-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Ferroviaria SP (w), an implied 54% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 53% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ferroviaria SP (w) — 53%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ferroviaria SP (w)): model 35% · market 54% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ferroviaria SP (w) 53.2%, draw 25.3%, win Bahia (w) 21.5%. Model favourite — Ferroviaria SP (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferroviaria SP (w).
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Dafabet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.73 57.8% | |
| X | 3.55 28.2% | 3.78 26.5% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.55 28.2% |
| 4.50 22.2% | 4.62 21.7% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.40 22.7% | 4.50 22.2% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.03 97.1% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 9.00 11.1% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.07 93.5% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
| x2 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.16 46.3% | 7.60 13.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_3 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 1_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
Full head-to-head historyFerroviaria SP (w) - Bahia (w)
The Ferroviaria SP (w) - Bahia (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
