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Brazil. Cearense. Serie C
Brazil. Cearense. Serie C
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Cearense. Serie C

Acopiara - Pacatuba

Football
A
Acopiara
0 : 0
Finished
P
Pacatuba
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Acopiara — 51%

1 · Acopiara51.5%
X · draw19.8%
2 · Pacatuba28.7%

Model estimate: win Acopiara 51.5%, draw 19.8%, win Pacatuba 28.7%. Model favourite — Acopiara.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Acopiara (odds2.13) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Acopiara: probability 50% vs 47% on the line (odds 2.13)
  • • edge over the line +3 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Acopiara - Pacatuba July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.70 / X 1.18 / 2 7.60
  • Glicko: Acopiara 51.5% / X 19.8% / Pacatuba 28.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 11.7%
X 76.4%
2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Acopiara 4 : 1 Pacatuba

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Acopiara - Pacatuba

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
Form championat, soccer365, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: table home - 51.5% fact: draw missed / Brier 0.990 / LogLoss 1.618
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: table home - 51.5% fact: draw missed / Brier 0.990 / LogLoss 1.618
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Acopiara - 51.5% model pick
Draw - 19.8% draw risk
Pacatuba - 28.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.5% / 19.8% / 28.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Acopiara / Pacatuba
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 28.7%
X 1.18 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 7.70 Fonbet · weak value +296.3% · model 51.5%
Double chance
12 4.30 Fonbet · weak value +244.8% · model 80.2%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 71.3%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.72 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.30 23.3%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.00 50.0%
1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 4.40 22.7%
Over 1.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 0.5 1.17 85.5%
Under 1.5 1.40 71.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
7.70 13.0%
X 1.18 84.8%
7.60 13.2%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAcopiara - Pacatuba

Acopiara
0 matches total
Pacatuba
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history