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Brazil. Serie B

27.07.2026 20:30 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 20:30 UTC

Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario

Football

Atletiko Goyaniense

3 : 1

Finished

Operario

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Atletiko Goyaniense — 43%

Pure model vs market (1 · Atletiko Goyaniense): model 42% · market 43% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Atletiko Goyaniense43.0%

X · draw29.8%

2 · Operario27.2%

Model estimate: win Atletiko Goyaniense 43.0%, draw 29.8%, win Operario 27.2%. Model favourite — Atletiko Goyaniense.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.15) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.15)
• edge over the line +18 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletiko Goyaniense.

Strongest: Atletiko Goyaniense - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.08 / 2 3.45
1X2 market: Atletiko Goyaniense 43.1% / X 30.0% / Operario 26.9%
Glicko: Atletiko Goyaniense 43.0% / X 29.8% / Operario 27.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%

1 43.1%

X 30.1%

2 26.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B

League table

Atletiko Goyaniense

#731 ptsGP 208-7-523:20

WWDWL

Operario

#235 ptsGP 2010-5-528:25

LWDWW

Best price across 13 books

1 2.19 Pinnacle

X 3.20 Unibet

2 3.77 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Atletiko Goyaniense

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.22 xGA 1.05 Corners 5.6

Operario

W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 1.80 Conceded 1.00 xG 1.16 xGA 1.05 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Atletiko Goyaniense

Rating 1530 xG 1.21 Win 42%

Operario

Rating 1561 xG 0.97 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Atletiko Goyaniense 1 : 1 Operario

12.09

X3.08

23.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 20:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Atletiko Goyaniense 43%

💹 Market Atletiko Goyaniense 4311%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 43.0% fact: home hit / ROI 122.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.844

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 43.0% fact: home hit / ROI 122.0% / Brier 0.488 / LogLoss 0.844

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Atletiko Goyaniense 43.1% 43.0% market and model agree

Draw 30.1% 29.8% draw risk

Operario 26.8% 27.2%

1X2: 16 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 43.0% / 29.8% / 27.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,616 / 1,647 Atletiko Goyaniense / Operario

RD 170 / 168 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,275-1,957 / 1,312-1,982 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.47 market consensus · no value · model 27.2%

X 6.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 43.0%

Double chance

12 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 70.2%

1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 72.8%

X2 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +213.5% · model 57.0%

Handicap

2 -1 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.54 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.18 45.9%	2.16 46.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%
	3.45 29.0%	3.46 28.9%	3.60 27.8%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	6.00 16.7%	1.80 55.6%
yes	1.08 92.6%	1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.29 77.5%	1.32 75.8%	1.08 92.6%
1x	1.24 80.7%	1.26 79.4%	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.64 61.0%	1.69 59.2%	5.50 18.2%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	7.50 13.3%
0_1	7.50 13.3%
0_2	13.00 7.7%
0_3	34.00 2.9%
0_4	91.00 1.1%
1_0	5.75 17.4%
1_1	5.25 19.1%
1_2	9.50 10.5%
1_3	26.00 3.9%
1_4	71.00 1.4%
2_0	8.50 11.8%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	13.00 7.7%
2_3	34.00 2.9%
2_4	81.00 1.2%
3_0	17.00 5.9%
3_1	15.00 6.7%
3_2	26.00 3.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-1-2, avg 2.0 gls

2026-07-27 · Atletiko Goiyaniense 3:1 Operario Ferroviario

2026-03-21 · Atletiko Goiyaniense 0:1 Operario Ferroviario

2025-11-15 · Atletiko Goiyaniense 0:0 Operario Ferroviario

2025-07-22 · Atletiko Goiyaniense 0:3 Operario Ferroviario

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.27 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.05 (Winline) · 2 4 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	2.2	3	3.1
Winline	2.26	3.05	3.15
Fonbet	2.2	3	3.1
Betcity	1.95	3	4
Liga Stavok	2.27	3.05	3.15

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

48 Ball possession 52

8 Vsego udarov 10

5 Shots on target 3

2 Shots off target 5

9 Udary ot vorot 6

1 Blokirovannye udary 2

13 Shtrafnye 13

3 Corners 2

2 Offsides 0

13 Auty 19

1 Saves 0

13 Fouls 13

2 Cards total 1

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

1 Travmy 0

5 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Atletiko Goyaniense

W D W L D

23.07 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Atletiko Goyaniense 1:0 Kuyaba

18.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Atletiko Goyaniense 0:0 Atletik

12.07 19:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Atletiko Goyaniense 1:0 Fortaleza

04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Atletiko Goyaniense 0:3 Novorizontino

12.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Atletiko Goyaniense 3:3 Regatas

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Operario

W D W D L

22.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Operario 3:2 Ponte-Preta

18.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Operario 2:2 Sport Resifi

12.07 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Operario 2:1 Novorizontino

07.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Operario 0:0 Atletik

14.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Operario 1:2 Botafogo San-Paulu

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtletiko Goyaniense - Operario

Atletiko Goyaniense

0 matches total

Operario

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario

AI match prediction Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario July 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Atletiko Goyaniense - Operario

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Match history