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Brazil. Serie B

27.07.2026 20:30 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 20:30 UTC

Finished

Brazil. Serie B

Sport Resifi - Cuiaba

Football

Sport Resifi

1 : 1

Finished

Cuiaba

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Sport Resifi — 47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sport Resifi): model 40% · market 48% Δ −8 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sport Resifi47.3%

X · draw29.7%

2 · Cuiaba23.0%

Model estimate: win Sport Resifi 47.3%, draw 29.7%, win Cuiaba 23.0%. Model favourite — Sport Resifi.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds3.20) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score

• Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 31% on the line (odds 3.20)
• edge over the line +19 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sport Resifi - Cuiaba July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sport Resifi.

Strongest: Sport Resifi - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.12 / 2 4.19
1X2 market: Sport Resifi 47.9% / X 29.8% / Cuiaba 22.3%
Glicko: Sport Resifi 47.3% / X 29.7% / Cuiaba 23.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.5%

1 48.0%

X 29.8%

2 22.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Serie B

League table

Sport Resifi

#1029 ptsGP 206-11-325:19

DDDDL

Cuiaba

#1425 ptsGP 205-10-515:15

DLLDW

Best price across 13 books

1 2.10 William Hill

X 3.25 Dafabet

2 4.65 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)

Sport Resifi

Rating 1565 xG 1.25 Win 42%

Cuiaba

Rating 1495 xG 0.99 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Sport Resifi 1 : 1 Cuiaba

12.03

X2.94

24.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 27.07.2026 20:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Sport Resifi 47%

💹 Market Sport Resifi 4792%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Sport Resifi - Cuiaba

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.772 / LogLoss 1.215

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 47.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.772 / LogLoss 1.215

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Sport Resifi 47.8% 47.3% market and model agree

Draw 30.0% 29.7% draw risk

Cuiaba 22.3% 23.0%

1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 47.3% / 29.7% / 23.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,550 / 1,601 Sport Resifi / Cuiaba

RD 157 / 158 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,237-1,863 / 1,285-1,917 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.19 market consensus · no value · model 23.0%

X 1.04 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 47.3%

Double chance

12 6.70 Fonbet · weak value +371.3% · model 70.3%

1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 77.0%

X2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 52.7%

Handicap

2 -1 1.70 Fonbet · line only

2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.94 51.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%
	4.10 24.4%	4.16 24.0%	4.33 23.1%	4.55 22.0%	4.20 23.8%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.27 78.7%	1.62 61.7%
yes	3.25 30.8%	2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.36 73.5%	6.70 14.9%
1x	1.19 84.0%	1.01 99.0%
x2	1.76 56.8%	1.01 99.0%

Exact Score

Outcome	10Bet
0_0	7.00 14.3%
0_1	7.50 13.3%
0_2	17.00 5.9%
0_3	46.00 2.2%
0_4	126.00 0.8%
1_0	4.75 21.1%
1_1	5.50 18.2%
1_2	11.00 9.1%
1_3	34.00 2.9%
1_4	101.00 1.0%
2_0	6.50 15.4%
2_1	7.50 13.3%
2_2	15.00 6.7%
2_3	46.00 2.2%
3_0	13.00 7.7%
3_1	15.00 6.7%
3_2	31.00 3.2%
3_3	76.00 1.3%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-2-0, avg 1.0 gls

2026-07-27 · Sport Resifi 1:1 Kuyaba

2026-03-21 · Sport Resifi 0:0 Kuyaba

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.88 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.2 (Betcity) · 2 4.3 (Winline)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.8	3.1	4.2
Winline	1.87	3.1	4.3
Fonbet	1.8	3.1	4.2
Betcity	1.85	3.2	4.1
Liga Stavok	1.88	3.1	4.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

66 Ball possession 34

17 Vsego udarov 10

3 Shots on target 3

5 Shots off target 4

9 Udary ot vorot 8

9 Blokirovannye udary 3

9 Shtrafnye 10

8 Corners 11

0 Offsides 2

24 Auty 22

0 Saves 2

11 Fouls 10

1 Cards total 1

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

0 Second yellows 0

2 Travmy 0

3 Substitutions 5

Source: ruscore

Sport Resifi

D D D L D

22.07 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Sport Resifi 1:1 Goyas

18.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Sport Resifi 2:2 Operario

10.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Sport Resifi 3:3 Botafogo San-Paulu

04.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Sport Resifi 0:1 Kriciuma

14.06 12:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Sport Resifi 0:0 San-Bernardo

0 Wins

4 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

4 Points

Cuiaba

L L D W W

23.07 21:30 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Cuiaba 0:1 Atletiko Goyaniense

17.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Cuiaba 0:2 Zhuventude

12.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Cuiaba 2:2 San-Bernardo

02.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Cuiaba 1:0 Amerika MG

09.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Championship Brazil V Standings

Cuiaba 2:1 Ponte-Preta

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySport Resifi - Cuiaba

Sport Resifi

0 matches total

Cuiaba

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Sport Resifi - Cuiaba

AI match prediction Sport Resifi - Cuiaba July 27, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Sport Resifi - Cuiaba

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Form & head-to-head

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Match stats

Match history