PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
27.07.2026 20:30 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 20:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage

Gremio Prudente - Bandeirante

Football
G
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Finished
B
Bandeirante
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gremio Prudente — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gremio Prudente): model 40% · market 54% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Gremio Prudente51.3%
X · draw27.1%
2 · Bandeirante21.5%

Model estimate: win Gremio Prudente 51.3%, draw 27.1%, win Bandeirante 21.5%. Model favourite — Gremio Prudente.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gremio Prudente (odds1.99) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs Gremio Prudente: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 1.99)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gremio Prudente - Bandeirante July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Gremio Prudente.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gremio Prudente. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 1.43 / 2 7.60
  • Glicko: Gremio Prudente 51.3% / X 27.1% / Bandeirante 21.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 82.1%
1 54.4%
X 38.4%
2 7.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Copa Paulista
Best price across 12 books
1 1.82 Dafabet
X 3.50 Bet365
2 5.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Gremio Prudente 1 : 2 Bandeirante
11.75
X3.30
24.43

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:30 UTC
Match center

Gremio Prudente - Bandeirante

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 76.0% / Brier 0.357 / LogLoss 0.667
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.3% fact: home hit / ROI 76.0% / Brier 0.357 / LogLoss 0.667
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gremio Prudente 52.1% 51.3% market and model agree
Draw 27.4% 27.1% draw risk
Bandeirante 20.6% 21.5%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.3% / 27.1% / 21.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,400 / 1,481 Gremio Prudente / Bandeirante
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 818-1,983 / 898-2,063 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 21.5%
X 1.43 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 51.3%
Double chance
12 2.55 Fonbet · weak value +85.8% · model 72.9%
1X 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 78.5%
X2 1.92 market consensus · no value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.70 58.8%
yes 9.50 10.5% 2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 2.55 39.2%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.08 92.6%
x2 1.87 53.5% 1.96 51.0% 10.50 9.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.38 42.0%
X 2.00 50.0%
5.30 18.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.11 47.4%
Under 1 1.65 60.6%
Match center
Gremio Prudente
L
17.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Gremio Prudente 0:1 Marilla
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Bandeirante
D
18.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Cup Paulista Standings
Bandeirante 0:0 Linense
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points