Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage
XV de Novembro Piracicaba meet Noroeste Bauru on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Copa Paulista. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): XV de Novembro Piracicaba 1-2-2, Noroeste Bauru 1-2-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 46% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 XV de Novembro Piracicaba — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · XV de Novembro Piracicaba): model 42% · market 31% Δ +11 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win XV de Novembro Piracicaba 45.6%, draw 29.8%, win Noroeste Bauru 24.6%. Model favourite — XV de Novembro Piracicaba.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Noroeste Bauru.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 1.99 50.3% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.11 90.1% |
| 1x | 1.19 84.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 5.20 19.2% |
| x2 | 1.66 60.2% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.66 37.6% | |
| X | 1.92 52.1% |
| 4.69 21.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.18 45.9% |
| Under 1 | 1.61 62.1% |
Full head-to-head historyXV de Novembro Piracicaba - Noroeste Bauru
The XV de Novembro Piracicaba - Noroeste Bauru breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
