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Brazil. Goiano. Division 2
Brazil. Goiano. Division 2
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. Goiano. Division 2

Trindade - Bom Jesus EC

Football
T
Trindade
2 : 2
Finished
B
Bom Jesus EC

Trindade face Bom Jesus EC on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. Goiano. Division 2.

Recent form (W-D-L): Trindade 0-1-1, Bom Jesus EC 1-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 28% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Bom Jesus EC — 53%

1 · Trindade27.6%
X · draw19.0%
2 · Bom Jesus EC53.5%

Model estimate: win Trindade 27.6%, draw 19.0%, win Bom Jesus EC 53.5%. Model favourite — Bom Jesus EC.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Trindade (odds2.07) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Trindade: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.07)
  • • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Trindade - Bom Jesus EC August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Trindade.

Line favourite market consensus: Trindade. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.10 / 2 3.60
  • Glicko: Trindade 27.6% / X 19.0% / Bom Jesus EC 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 45.4%
X 29.3%
2 25.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1 2.05 ↑ 34.00
1X2 X 3.25 ↑ 6.50
1X2 2 3.10 ↓ 1.08

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Goiano - 2
League table
Trindade
#71 ptsGP 20-1-13:4
Bom Jesus EC
#44 ptsGP 21-1-02:1

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Trindade 1 : 4 Bom Jesus EC

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 45.4% @ 2.00 / X 29.3% @ 3.10 / 2 25.2% @ 3.60
Match center

Trindade - Bom Jesus EC

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.019 / LogLoss 1.663
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.019 / LogLoss 1.663
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Trindade 2.7% 27.6%
Draw 13.9% 19.0% draw risk
Bom Jesus EC 83.5% 53.5% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 27.6% / 19.0% / 53.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,376 / 1,624 Trindade / Bom Jesus
RD 249 / 254 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 878-1,874 / 1,116-2,132 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · weak value +92.5% · model 53.5%
X 3.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.00 market consensus · no value · model 27.6%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · value +5.3% · model 81.0%
1X 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 46.5%
X2 1.69 market consensus · value +22.4% · model 72.4%
Handicap
2 0 2.60 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.72 58.1%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9%
2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5%
Under 2.5 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
Match center
Trindade
D L
29.07 20:30 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Trindade 2:2 Mineiros
25.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Trindade 1:2 Tupy FC
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Bom Jesus EC
W D
29.07 21:00 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Bom Jesus EC 2:1 Morrinhos
26.07 16:30 UTC Brazil: Goyyano 2 Standings
Bom Jesus EC 0:0 Goyaneziya
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyTrindade - Bom Jesus EC

Trindade
0 matches total
Bom Jesus EC
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history