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Brazil. U20. Matogrossense
Brazil. U20. Matogrossense
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Matogrossense

Cuiaba U20 - Union Rondonopolis U20

Football
Cuiaba U20
Cuiaba U20
3 : 0
Finished
Union Rondonopolis U20
Union Rondonopolis U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Cuiaba U20 — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cuiaba U20): model 37% · market 78% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Cuiaba U20 ✓ Pick70.8%
market78%
X · draw14.1%
market12%
2 · Union Rondonopolis U2015.1%
market10%

Model estimate: win Cuiaba U20 70.8%, draw 14.1%, win Union Rondonopolis U20 15.1%. Model favourite — Cuiaba U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cuiaba U20 - Union Rondonopolis U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cuiaba U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Cuiaba U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / X 7.30 / 2 9.00
  • Glicko: Cuiaba U20 70.8% / X 14.1% / Union Rondonopolis U20 15.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 14.9%
1 ✓ Pick 78.4%
X 11.9%
2 9.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Npl Nsw U20
League table
Cuiaba U20
#1426 ptsGP 247-5-1232:47
LLDWW
Union Rondonopolis U20
#1031 ptsGP 249-4-1145:44
WWWLL
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cuiaba U20
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.79 Conceded 2.20
Union Rondonopolis U20
W-D-L 6-0-4 Scored 2.50 Conceded 1.89 xG 2.08 xGA 1.60

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cuiaba U20 5 : 0 Union Rondonopolis U20
11.12
X6.95
213.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Cuiaba U20 - Union Rondonopolis U20

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.8% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.345
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.8% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.345
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.8% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.345
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 70.8% fact: home hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.128 / LogLoss 0.345
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cuiaba U20 78.9% 70.8% market and model agree
Draw 13.0% 14.1% draw risk
Union Rondonopolis U20 8.1% 15.1%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.8% / 14.1% / 15.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,752 / 1,888 Cuiaba U20 / Union Rondonopolis U20
RD 177 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,397-2,106 / 1,483-2,292 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 15.1%
X 7.30 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%
Double chance
12 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 85.9%
1X 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 84.9%
X2 4.80 Fonbet · no value · model 29.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.05 95.2%
1x 1.04 96.2%
x2 4.80 20.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.49 67.1%
X 2.99 33.4%
9.80 10.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 1.5 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Cuiaba U20
D W
18.07 17:00 UTC Brazil: Matogrossense U20 - Playoff
Cuiaba U20 0:0 Luverdense U20Luverdense U20
12.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Matogrossense U20 - Playoff
Cuiaba U20 5:1 Luverdense U20Luverdense U20
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Union Rondonopolis U20
W W
18.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Matogrossense U20 - Playoff
Union Rondonopolis U20 3:1 Cacerense U20Cacerense U20
11.07 18:00 UTC Brazil: Matogrossense U20 - Playoff
Union Rondonopolis U20 2:0 Cacerense U20Cacerense U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points