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Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Mineiro U20 - Etap pobediteley Standings

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 - America Minas Gerais U20

Football
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
1 : 0
Finished
America Minas Gerais U20
America Minas Gerais U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U2056%

Pure model vs market (1 · Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20): model 56% · market 33% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 ✓ Pick56.1%
X · draw24.7%
2 · America Minas Gerais U2019.3%

Model estimate: win Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 56.1%, draw 24.7%, win America Minas Gerais U20 19.3%. Model favourite — Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 - America Minas Gerais U20 July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.70 / X 1.85 / 2 4.90
  • Glicko: Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 56.1% / X 24.7% / America Minas Gerais U20 19.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.5%
1 ✓ Pick 33.2%
X 48.5%
2 18.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Mineiro U20
League table
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
#223 ptsGP 117-2-221:13
ARRAY
America Minas Gerais U20
#916 ptsGP 125-1-624:17
ARRAY
Best price across 7 books
1 1.74 Superbet
X 3.50 William Hill
2 4.33 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.79 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.96 xGA 0.99
America Minas Gerais U20
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 2.09 Conceded 1.21 xG 1.60 xGA 1.05

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
Rating 1726 xG 2.11 Win 59%
America Minas Gerais U20
Rating 1631 xG 1.17 Win 20%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 2 : 1 America Minas Gerais U20
11.47
X3.90
26.08

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Market 1 33.2% @ 2.70 / X 48.5% @ 1.85 / 2 18.3% @ 4.90
Match center

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 - America Minas Gerais U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 56.1% 56.1% market and model agree
Draw 24.9% 24.7% draw risk
America Minas Gerais U20 19.0% 19.3%
xG - 2.11 : 1.17
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 56.1% / 24.7% / 19.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,560 / 1,328 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 / America Minas Gerais U20
RD 205 / 193 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,150-1,969 / 942-1,713 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 Fonbet · no value · model 19.3%
X 1.85 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.70 Fonbet · weak value +51.3% · model 56.1%
Double chance
12 1.75 Fonbet · value +31.8% · model 75.3%
1X 1.15 Fonbet · no value · model 80.7%
X2 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 43.9%
Handicap
2 +1 1.71 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.02 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3% 1.75 57.1%
1x 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0%
x2 2.10 47.6% 1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.15 46.5%
X 2.14 46.7%
5.60 17.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.77 56.5%
Under 1 1.94 51.6%
Match center
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
D L W L W
2026-07-19 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 Atletico Mineiro U20 0:0 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
2026-07-14 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026, Playoffs
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 Vasco da Gama U20 2:0 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
2026-07-08 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026, Playoffs
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 1:0 Vasco da Gama U20
2026-07-01 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 Bahia U20 3:1 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
2026-06-27 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 3:2 Athletic Minas Gerais U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
America Minas Gerais U20
L L L L D
2026-07-17 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
Boston City U20 2:0 America Minas Gerais U20 America Minas Gerais U20
2026-07-11 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
America Minas Gerais U20 1:2 Athletic Minas Gerais U20 America Minas Gerais U20
2026-07-01 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
America Minas Gerais U20 0:5 Bragantino U20 America Minas Gerais U20
2026-06-27 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Boston City U20 2:1 America Minas Gerais U20 America Minas Gerais U20
2026-06-23 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 2:2 America Minas Gerais U20 America Minas Gerais U20
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 - America Minas Gerais U20

Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20
1 matches total
America Minas Gerais U20
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
America Minas Gerais U20: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 2026-06-23) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (2026-06-23) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

2026-06-23 U20 Brasileiro Serie A 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 2:2 America Minas Gerais U20