Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Brazil. U20. Mineiro
Brazil. U20. Mineiro
01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Mineiro

Nacional Muriae U20 - Boston City U20

Football
N
Nacional Muriae U20
0 : 1
Finished
B
Boston City U20

Nacional Muriae U20 meet Boston City U20 on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Mineiro.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nacional Muriae U20 3-1-1, Boston City U20 4-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 49% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Nacional Muriae U2049%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nacional Muriae U20): model 42% · market 34% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Nacional Muriae U2049.4%
X · draw26.2%
2 · Boston City U2024.5%

Model estimate: win Nacional Muriae U20 49.4%, draw 26.2%, win Boston City U20 24.5%. Model favourite — Nacional Muriae U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nacional Muriae U20 - Boston City U20 August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Boston City U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Boston City U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.86 / X 5.60 / 2 1.13
  • Glicko: Nacional Muriae U20 49.4% / X 26.2% / Boston City U20 24.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 60.1%
1 33.6%
X 11.2%
2 55.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nacional Muriae U20 2 : 1 Boston City U20
11.76
X3.36
24.24

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 33.6% @ 1.86 / X 11.2% @ 5.60 / 2 55.3% @ 1.13
Match center

Nacional Muriae U20 - Boston City U20

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nacional Muriae U20 49.8% 49.4% market and model agree
Draw 26.4% 26.2% draw risk
Boston City U20 23.8% 24.5%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.4% / 26.2% / 24.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,575 / 1,612 Nacional Muriae U20 / Boston City U20
RD 219 / 279 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,137-2,012 / 1,055-2,169 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 24.5%
X 5.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 49.4%
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet · no value · model 73.8%
1X 4.90 Fonbet · weak value +270.1% · model 75.5%
X2 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 50.6%
Handicap
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.80 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.50 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 7.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.55 64.5% 1.91 52.4%
yes 2.30 43.5% 1.79 55.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.20 83.3% 4.90 20.4%
x2 1.77 56.5% 1.03 97.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.40 41.7%
X 2.05 48.8%
4.89 20.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.87 53.5%
Under 1 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Nacional Muriae U20
W L W D
2026-07-17 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
Nacional Muriae U20 Athletic Minas Gerais U20 0:1 Nacional Muriae U20
2026-07-11 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
Nacional Muriae U20 Nacional Muriae U20 1:2 Coimbra U20
2026-06-27 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Nacional Muriae U20 Nacional Muriae U20 4:1 Minas Boca U20
2026-06-12 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Nacional Muriae U20 Itabirito U20 2:2 Nacional Muriae U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.3 Conceded
7 Points
Boston City U20
W W W W L
2026-07-17 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026, Championship Round
Boston City U20 2:0 America Minas Gerais U20 Boston City U20
2026-06-27 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Boston City U20 2:1 America Minas Gerais U20 Boston City U20
2026-06-07 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Social Minas Gerais U20 2:3 Boston City U20 Boston City U20
2026-05-29 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Boston City U20 2:1 Coimbra U20 Boston City U20
2026-05-23 U20 Mineiro, 1. Divisao 2026
Cruzeiro Minas Gerais U20 3:0 Boston City U20 Boston City U20
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points