Brazil. U20. Paulista
Alagoano U20 - Niger U20
Alagoano U20 face Niger U20 on August 1, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Paulista.
Recent form (W-D-L): Alagoano U20 5-0-0, Niger U20 2-1-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 68% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Alagoano U20 — 68%
Model estimate: win Alagoano U20 68.0%, draw 16.4%, win Niger U20 15.6%. Model favourite — Alagoano U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alagoano U20 - Niger U20 August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Glicko: Alagoano U20 68.0% / X 16.4% / Niger U20 15.6%
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Alagoano U20 - Niger U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.17 85.5% |
| yes | 4.20 23.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% |
| 1x | 9.50 10.5% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 10.50 9.5% | |
| 7.20 13.9% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 11.00 9.1% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.02 98.0% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.01 99.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 8.50 11.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 9.50 10.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 11.00 9.1% |
| Over 4.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Over 5.5 | 7.10 14.1% |
| Under 0.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.03 97.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.02 98.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
| Under 5.5 | 1.05 95.2% |
Alagoano U20
Palmeyras U20
Porto Football U20
XV de Jau U20
Referencia U20
Flamengo SP U20
Niger U20
Guarani U20
Sfera U20
Osasko U20
Maua U20
XV de Jau U20
Full head-to-head historyAlagoano U20 - Niger U20
Match history
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The Alagoano U20 - Niger U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form