Brazil. U20. Paulista
Gremio Prudente U20 meet Capivariano U20 on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Paulista.
Recent form (W-D-L): Gremio Prudente U20 2-1-2, Capivariano U20 2-2-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 25% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Capivariano U20 — 54%
Pure model vs market (2 · Capivariano U20): model 36% · market 34% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Gremio Prudente U20 24.9%, draw 20.7%, win Capivariano U20 54.4%. Model favourite — Capivariano U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Capivariano U20.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 1.97 50.8% |
| yes | 1.63 61.4% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.75 57.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.30 76.9% | 5.10 19.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.55 64.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.43 69.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.98 33.6% | |
| X | 2.02 49.5% |
| 3.58 27.9% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 1 | 1.80 55.6% |
Gremio Prudente U20
Full head-to-head historyGremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20
The Gremio Prudente U20 - Capivariano U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
