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Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings

Osasco Sporting U20 - Batatais U20

Football
Osasco Sporting U20
Osasco Sporting U20
0 : 0
Finished
Batatais U20
Batatais U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Osasco Sporting U20 — 51%

Pure model vs market (1 · Osasco Sporting U20): model 40% · market 10% Δ +30 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Osasco Sporting U2051.3%
X · draw21.2%
2 · Batatais U2027.5%

Model estimate: win Osasco Sporting U20 51.3%, draw 21.2%, win Batatais U20 27.5%. Model favourite — Osasco Sporting U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasco Sporting U20 - Batatais U20 July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.15 / 2 8.00
  • Glicko: Osasco Sporting U20 51.3% / X 21.2% / Batatais U20 27.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 9.6%
X 79.1%
2 11.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / X 79.1% @ 1.15 / 2 11.4% @ 8.00
Match center

Osasco Sporting U20 - Batatais U20

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.961 / LogLoss 1.553
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 51.3% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.961 / LogLoss 1.553
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Osasco Sporting U20 42.3% 51.3% market and model agree
Draw 28.5% 21.2% draw risk
Batatais U20 29.2% 27.5%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.3% / 21.2% / 27.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,549 / 1,607 Osasco Sporting U20 / Batatais U20
RD 177 / 178 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,195-1,903 / 1,251-1,963 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 27.5%
X 1.15 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +387.8% · model 51.3%
Double chance
12 4.40 Fonbet · weak value +246.9% · model 78.8%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 72.5%
X2 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 48.7%
Handicap
2 0 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 1.99 50.3%
yes 9.50 10.5% 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 4.40 22.7%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.85 35.1%
X 2.01 49.8%
3.82 26.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.88 53.2%
Under 1 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Osasco Sporting U20
D L L W W
26.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Osasco Sporting U20 1:1 San-Paulu U20San-Paulu U20
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Osasco Sporting U20 0:1 Paulinense U20Paulinense U20
09.07 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Osasco Sporting U20 0:1 Ibrachina U20Ibrachina U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Osasco Sporting U20 2:1 Bandeirante U20Bandeirante U20
11.06 20:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Osasco Sporting U20 4:3 Santu-Andre U20Santu-Andre U20
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Batatais U20
W L D D L
17.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Batatais U20 3:0 Aguai U20Aguai U20
13.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Batatais U20 67:81 Desportivo U20Desportivo U20
04.07 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Batatais U20 0:0 San-Paulu U20San-Paulu U20
26.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Batatais U20 1:1 Botafogo San-Paulu U20Botafogo San-Paulu U20
12.06 16:00 UTC Brazil: Paulista U20 Standings
Batatais U20 0:2 San-Bernardo U20San-Bernardo U20
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
14.2 Scored
16.8 Conceded
5 Points