Brazil. U20. Paulista
Sao Caetano do Sul U20 go head-to-head with Novorizontino U20 on August 6, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Paulista.
Recent form (W-D-L): Sao Caetano do Sul U20 1-1-3, Novorizontino U20 2-3-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 52% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sao Caetano do Sul U20 — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sao Caetano do Sul U20): model 36% · market 23% Δ +13 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Sao Caetano do Sul U20 52.3%, draw 21.0%, win Novorizontino U20 26.7%. Model favourite — Sao Caetano do Sul U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Novorizontino U20.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Market consensus
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.48 40.3% | 2.48 40.3% | 1.90 52.6% |
| yes | 1.46 68.5% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet | Kambi BetMGM | Kambi Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% |
| 1x | 1.93 51.8% | 7.70 13.0% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.14 46.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| X | 2.08 48.1% |
| 2.31 43.3% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.84 54.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.86 53.8% |
Novorizontino U20
Full head-to-head historySao Caetano do Sul U20 - Novorizontino U20
The Sao Caetano do Sul U20 - Novorizontino U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
