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Brazil. U20. Brasiliense
Brazil. U20. Brasiliense
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Finished

Brazil. U20. Brasiliense

Planaltina DF U20 - Capital TO U20

Football
Planaltina DF U20
Planaltina DF U20
0 : 1
Finished
Capital TO U20
Capital TO U20

Planaltina DF U20 go head-to-head with Capital TO U20 on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Brasiliense.

PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 21% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Capital TO U20 — 57%

Pure model vs market (2 · Capital TO U20): model 21% · market 15% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Planaltina DF U2021.2%
X · draw22.0%
2 · Capital TO U2056.8%

Model estimate: win Planaltina DF U20 21.2%, draw 22.0%, win Capital TO U20 56.8%. Model favourite — Capital TO U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Planaltina DF U20 - Capital TO U20 August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.50 / X 1.20 / 2 6.20
  • Glicko: Planaltina DF U20 21.2% / X 22.0% / Capital TO U20 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 9.6%
X 75.8%
2 14.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Brasiliense U20
League table
Planaltina DF U20
#622 ptsGP 107-1-230:9
Capital TO U20
#425 ptsGP 118-1-256:15
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Planaltina DF U20
W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.99 Conceded 0.90
Capital TO U20
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 5.51 Conceded 1.40

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Planaltina DF U20
Rating 1703
Capital TO U20
Rating 1884

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Planaltina DF U20 2 : 4 Capital TO U20
14.77
X4.05
21.55

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 9.6% @ 9.50 / X 75.8% @ 1.20 / 2 14.7% @ 6.20
Match center

Planaltina DF U20 - Capital TO U20

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Planaltina DF U20 18.8% 21.2%
Draw 22.1% 22.0% draw risk
Capital TO U20 59.1% 56.8% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 21.2% / 22.0% / 56.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,923 / 1,626 Planaltina U20 / Capital DF U20
RD 248 / 300 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,427-2,420 / 1,027-2,226 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.20 Fonbet · weak value +252.1% · model 56.8%
X 1.20 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 21.2%
Double chance
12 3.75 Fonbet · weak value +192.6% · model 78.0%
1X 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 43.2%
X2 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 78.8%
Handicap
2 -1 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.27 78.7% 2.32 43.1%
yes 3.25 30.8% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet
12 1.16 86.2% 3.75 26.7%
1x 2.30 43.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.10 90.9% 1.05 95.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.83 20.7%
X 2.41 41.5%
2.05 48.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Under 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Planaltina DF U20
L W W W
27.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Planaltina DF U20 1:2 Canaa U20Canaa U20
19.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Planaltina DF U20 6:0 Gremio Valparaiso U20Gremio Valparaiso U20
06.06 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Planaltina DF U20 5:1 Kruzeyro DF U20
24.05 18:30 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Planaltina DF U20 4:0 Seylandensi U20
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Capital TO U20
W W W
26.07 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Capital TO U20 7:2 Gama U20
19.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Capital TO U20 2:0 ARUC U20ARUC U20
07.06 16:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Brasiliense U20 Standings
Capital TO U20 1:0 Sobradino U20Sobradino U20
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
9 Points