Brazil. U20. Brasiliense
Santa Maria U20 go head-to-head with Brasiliense U20 on August 2, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Brasiliense.
PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 17% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Brasiliense U20 — 63%
Pure model vs market (2 · Brasiliense U20): model 34% · market 81% Δ −47 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Santa Maria U20 16.9%, draw 20.2%, win Brasiliense U20 62.9%. Model favourite — Brasiliense U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brasiliense U20.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% |
| yes | 1.51 66.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
| 1x | 2.60 38.5% | 8.50 11.8% |
| x2 | 1.06 94.3% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| X | 2.52 39.7% |
| 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 4.41 22.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.74 57.5% |
Santa Maria U20
Luzianiya U20
Seylandense U20
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Taguatinga U20
Legiao U20
Full head-to-head historySanta Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20
The Santa Maria U20 - Brasiliense U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
