Brazil. U20. Potiguar
Nacional Fast U20 - ASSU U20
Nacional Fast U20 face ASSU U20 on August 5, 2026 in the Brazil. U20. Potiguar.
Recent form (W-D-L): Nacional Fast U20 2-0-0, ASSU U20 1-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 34% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 ASSU U20 — 40%
Pure model vs market (2 · ASSU U20): model 24% · market 41% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Nacional Fast U20 34.4%, draw 25.4%, win ASSU U20 40.2%. Model favourite — ASSU U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nacional Fast U20 - ASSU U20 August 5, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / X 1.32 / 2 3.65
- Glicko: Nacional Fast U20 34.4% / X 25.4% / ASSU U20 40.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Nacional Fast U20 - ASSU U20
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.34 42.7% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 2.80 35.7% |
| 1x | 1.54 64.9% | 1.20 83.3% |
| x2 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.02 98.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.33 30.0% | |
| X | 2.24 44.6% |
| 2.75 36.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.31 30.2% |
| Under 1 | 2.20 45.5% |
Nacional Fast U20
RB do Norte U20
Inter Academy U20
ASSU U20
Manauara U20
Kliper U20
Full head-to-head historyNacional Fast U20 - ASSU U20
Match history
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The Nacional Fast U20 - ASSU U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form