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Start
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
Brazil: Amazonense U20 - Playoff
Bangu U20 - Olimpia SP U20
6
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Bangu U20 — 39%
Pure model vs market (1 · Bangu U20): model 59% · market 38% Δ +21 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Bangu U20 39.3%, draw 24.8%, win Olimpia SP U20 35.9%. Model favourite — Bangu U20.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bangu U20 - Olimpia SP U20 July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bangu U20.
Line favourite market consensus: Bangu U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.38 / X 3.60 / 2 2.45
- Glicko: Bangu U20 39.3% / X 24.8% / Olimpia SP U20 35.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 10.7%
1
38.0%
X
25.1%
2
36.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Paulista - U20League table
Bangu U20
DL
Olimpia SP U20
LL
Best price
across 9 books
1
2.75
10Bet
X
3.40
Bet365
2
2.33
Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Bangu U20
W-D-L 1-2-7
Scored 0.38
Conceded 1.46
xG 0.75
xGA 2.52
Olimpia SP U20
W-D-L 1-2-7
Scored 0.61
Conceded 1.96
xG 1.01
xGA 1.91
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Bangu U20
Rating 1391
Olimpia SP U20
Rating 1468
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Bangu U20
6
:
1
Olimpia SP U20
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Bangu U20 - Olimpia SP U20
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
6:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 39.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 137.5% / Brier 0.558 / LogLoss 0.933
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 39.3% fact: home
hit / ROI 137.5% / Brier 0.558 / LogLoss 0.933
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Bangu U20
38.1%
39.3%
market and model agree
Draw
25.1%
24.8%
draw risk
Olimpia SP U20
36.9%
35.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
39.3% / 24.8% / 35.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,672 / 1,361
Bangu U20 / Olimpia SP U20
RD
199 / 290
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,274-2,070 / 781-1,940
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.97
market consensus · no value · model 35.9%
X
2.74
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.02
market consensus · no value · model 39.3%
Total
Over 2.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.35
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Total
| Outcome | Bet365 |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.38 42.1% | 2.37 42.2% | 1.32 75.8% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | 1.01 99.0% |
Match center
Bangu U20
L
L
W
W
Bangu U20
1:2
Fast Klub U20
Fast Klub U20
Bangu U20
0:1
Manauara U20
Manauara U20
Bangu U20
2:0
Manaus U20
Manaus U20
Bangu U20
2:1
Sul America U20
Sul America U20
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Olimpia SP U20
W
W
L
Olimpia SP U20
1:0
Sul America U20
Sul America U20
Olimpia SP U20
81:67
Librade U20
Librade U20
Olimpia SP U20
1:3
RB do Norte U20
RB do Norte U20
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
27.7
Scored
23.3
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBangu U20 - Olimpia SP U20
Bangu U20
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Bangu U20 - Olimpia SP U20 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form