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Brazil: Amazonense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Amazonense U20 - Playoff
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Amazonense U20 - Playoff

RB do Norte U20 - Manaus U20

Football
RB do Norte U20
RB do Norte U20
2 : 2
Finished
Manaus U20
Manaus U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Manaus U20 — 63%

Pure model vs market (2 · Manaus U20): model 27% · market 68% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · RB do Norte U2017.2%
market12%
X · draw19.8%
market20%
2 · Manaus U20 ✓ Pick63.0%
market68%

Model estimate: win RB do Norte U20 17.2%, draw 19.8%, win Manaus U20 63.0%. Model favourite — Manaus U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB do Norte U20 - Manaus U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manaus U20.

Line favourite market consensus: Manaus U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.00 / X 5.00 / 2 1.44
  • Glicko: RB do Norte U20 17.2% / X 19.8% / Manaus U20 63.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 1.9%
1 12.3%
X 19.6%
2 ✓ Pick 68.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

RB do Norte U20 3 : 1 Manaus U20

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

RB do Norte U20 - Manaus U20

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 63.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.070 / LogLoss 1.621
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 63.0% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.070 / LogLoss 1.621
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
RB do Norte U20 15.0% 17.2%
Draw 19.7% 19.8% draw risk
Manaus U20 65.3% 63.0% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.2% / 19.8% / 63.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,785 / 1,642 RB do Norte U20 / Manaus U20
RD 241 / 220 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,302-2,267 / 1,202-2,082 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 63.0%
X 4.75 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 6.50 market consensus · no value · model 17.2%
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Bet365
Over 2.5 1.67 60.0%
Under 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bet365 Betfair
5.00 20.0% 8.00 12.5%
X 4.50 22.2% 5.00 20.0%
1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
RB do Norte U20
D W W W
20.07 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
RB do Norte U20 0:0 Librade U20Librade U20
13.07 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
RB do Norte U20 1:0 San-Raymundo U20San-Raymundo U20
10.06 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
RB do Norte U20 3:1 Kliper U20Kliper U20
05.06 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
RB do Norte U20 2:0 Inter Academy U20Inter Academy U20
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.3 Conceded
10 Points
Manaus U20
W L W
21.07 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
Manaus U20 6:2 Inter Academy U20Inter Academy U20
14.07 12:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
Manaus U20 0:2 Amazonas U20Amazonas U20
09.06 17:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Amazonense U20 Standings
Manaus U20 5:0 Librade U20Librade U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
6 Points