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Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff
25.07.2026 16:00 UTC Match prediction
25.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished

Brazil: Cearense U20 - Playoff

Anjos do Ceu U20 - Tirol U20

Football
A
Anjos do Ceu U20
0 : 3
Finished
T
Tirol U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Tirol U20 — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tirol U20): model 36% · market 70% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Anjos do Ceu U2023.5%
X · draw25.5%
2 · Tirol U2051.1%

Model estimate: win Anjos do Ceu U20 23.5%, draw 25.5%, win Tirol U20 51.1%. Model favourite — Tirol U20.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Anjos do Ceu U20 - Tirol U20 July 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tirol U20.

Line favourite Fonbet: Tirol U20. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / X 3.65 / 2 1.08
  • Glicko: Anjos do Ceu U20 23.5% / X 25.5% / Tirol U20 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 32.5%
1 9.4%
X 20.7%
2 69.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Anjos do Ceu U20 0 : 4 Tirol U20
111.50
X5.75
21.19

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Anjos do Ceu U20 - Tirol U20

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:3
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.1% fact: away hit / ROI 72.7% / Brier 0.359 / LogLoss 0.672
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 51.1% fact: away hit / ROI 72.7% / Brier 0.359 / LogLoss 0.672
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Anjos do Ceu U20 22.4% 23.5%
Draw 25.6% 25.5% draw risk
Tirol U20 52.0% 51.1% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.5% / 25.5% / 51.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,481 / 1,517 Anjos do Ceu U20 / Tirol U20
RD 205 / 245 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,071-1,892 / 1,026-2,007 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 51.1%
X 3.65 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 8.00 Fonbet · no value · model 23.5%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 74.5%
1X 5.50 Fonbet · weak value +169.1% · model 48.9%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 76.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 0 4.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0%
1x 5.50 18.2%
x2 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
8.90 11.2%
X 2.63 38.0%
1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.57 63.7%
Over 1.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 1 2.25 44.4%
Under 1.5 1.54 64.9%
Match center
Anjos do Ceu U20
W W L L
19.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Anjos do Ceu U20 2:1 Atletiko Searense U20
08.07 11:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Anjos do Ceu U20 4:3 Alianka U20
04.07 10:30 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Anjos do Ceu U20 0:1 Floresta U20
07.06 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Anjos do Ceu U20 0:1 Kishada U20
2 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Tirol U20
D D
18.07 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Tirol U20 1:1 Fortaleza U20Fortaleza U20
06.06 16:00 UTC+0 Brazil: Cearense U20 Standings
Tirol U20 1:1 Floresta U20
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points